Cape Town's winter climate features moderate variability driven by passing cold fronts and the influence of the Benguela Current, with historical August daily maxima averaging near 17–18°C. Current forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and BBC Weather indicate partly cloudy to sunny conditions for August 7, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 17–19°C depending on the exact timing of any frontal passage and daytime insolation. Trader positioning around 18–19°C (combined ~68% implied probability) reflects this tight spread amid minor disagreements in ensemble runs on wind strength and cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 20°C or higher account for the low likelihood of significant warming absent a stronger high-pressure setup. Updated short-range model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日开普敦气温最高？
8月7日开普敦气温最高？
19°C 38%
18°C 31%
20°C 18%
17°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
12%
18°C
31%
19°C
38%
20°C
18%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
1%
19°C 38%
18°C 31%
20°C 18%
17°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
14°C或以下
$55 交易量
2%
15°C
$63 交易量
2%
16°C
$29 交易量
4%
17°C
$3 交易量
12%
18°C
$0 交易量
31%
19°C
$56 交易量
38%
20°C
$5 交易量
18%
21°C
$21 交易量
5%
22°C
$30 交易量
3%
23°C
$170 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$60 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter climate features moderate variability driven by passing cold fronts and the influence of the Benguela Current, with historical August daily maxima averaging near 17–18°C. Current forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and BBC Weather indicate partly cloudy to sunny conditions for August 7, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 17–19°C depending on the exact timing of any frontal passage and daytime insolation. Trader positioning around 18–19°C (combined ~68% implied probability) reflects this tight spread amid minor disagreements in ensemble runs on wind strength and cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 20°C or higher account for the low likelihood of significant warming absent a stronger high-pressure setup. Updated short-range model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$492结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter climate features moderate variability driven by passing cold fronts and the influence of the Benguela Current, with historical August daily maxima averaging near 17–18°C. Current forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and BBC Weather indicate partly cloudy to sunny conditions for August 7, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 17–19°C depending on the exact timing of any frontal passage and daytime insolation. Trader positioning around 18–19°C (combined ~68% implied probability) reflects this tight spread amid minor disagreements in ensemble runs on wind strength and cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 20°C or higher account for the low likelihood of significant warming absent a stronger high-pressure setup. Updated short-range model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$492结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ETCape Town's winter climate features moderate variability driven by passing cold fronts and the influence of the Benguela Current, with historical August daily maxima averaging near 17–18°C. Current forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and BBC Weather indicate partly cloudy to sunny conditions for August 7, with model consensus pointing to a maximum near 17–19°C depending on the exact timing of any frontal passage and daytime insolation. Trader positioning around 18–19°C (combined ~68% implied probability) reflects this tight spread amid minor disagreements in ensemble runs on wind strength and cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 20°C or higher account for the low likelihood of significant warming absent a stronger high-pressure setup. Updated short-range model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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