**Current Met Office guidance points to a 25°C maximum in London on August 5, supported by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection following an unusually warm early-August period.** Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering between 24–26°C depending on the timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud cover. The tied 35.5% market shares on 25°C and 26°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band and typical short-range model variability at 48–72 hours lead time. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so the current setup sits above the long-term baseline but well below recent heatwave peaks. Updated model runs and the next Met Office briefing will determine whether probabilities shift toward 26°C or consolidate around 25°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日伦敦气温最高？
8月5日伦敦气温最高？
25°C 36%
26°C 33%
24°C 20%
23°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
10%
23°C
12%
24°C
20%
25°C
36%
26°C
33%
27°C
12%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
<1%
25°C 36%
26°C 33%
24°C 20%
23°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
21°C
$0 交易量
1%
22°C
$14 交易量
10%
23°C
$0 交易量
12%
24°C
$0 交易量
20%
25°C
$0 交易量
36%
26°C
$9 交易量
33%
27°C
$0 交易量
12%
28°C
$0 交易量
10%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current Met Office guidance points to a 25°C maximum in London on August 5, supported by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection following an unusually warm early-August period.** Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering between 24–26°C depending on the timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud cover. The tied 35.5% market shares on 25°C and 26°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band and typical short-range model variability at 48–72 hours lead time. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so the current setup sits above the long-term baseline but well below recent heatwave peaks. Updated model runs and the next Met Office briefing will determine whether probabilities shift toward 26°C or consolidate around 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$23结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current Met Office guidance points to a 25°C maximum in London on August 5, supported by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection following an unusually warm early-August period.** Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering between 24–26°C depending on the timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud cover. The tied 35.5% market shares on 25°C and 26°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band and typical short-range model variability at 48–72 hours lead time. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so the current setup sits above the long-term baseline but well below recent heatwave peaks. Updated model runs and the next Met Office briefing will determine whether probabilities shift toward 26°C or consolidate around 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Current Met Office guidance points to a 25°C maximum in London on August 5, supported by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection following an unusually warm early-August period.** Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering between 24–26°C depending on the timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud cover. The tied 35.5% market shares on 25°C and 26°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band and typical short-range model variability at 48–72 hours lead time. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so the current setup sits above the long-term baseline but well below recent heatwave peaks. Updated model runs and the next Met Office briefing will determine whether probabilities shift toward 26°C or consolidate around 25°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题