Latest Met Office guidance shows London reaching a daytime maximum of 28°C on August 4 under building high pressure and southerly flow that advects warmer air, following a peak near 31°C the previous day. Ensemble and deterministic model runs cluster around 27–29°C, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal feature. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly that supports the market’s emphasis on 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the event remains the key variable that could shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日伦敦气温最高？
8月4日伦敦气温最高？
29°C 41%
28°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
30%
29°C
41%
30°C
9%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
25°C or below
$181 交易量
1%
26°C
$147 交易量
3%
27°C
$229 交易量
19%
28°C
$231 交易量
30%
29°C
$698 交易量
41%
30°C
$111 交易量
9%
31°C
$111 交易量
5%
32°C
$32 交易量
1%
33°C
$131 交易量
<1%
34°C
$121 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$143 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance shows London reaching a daytime maximum of 28°C on August 4 under building high pressure and southerly flow that advects warmer air, following a peak near 31°C the previous day. Ensemble and deterministic model runs cluster around 27–29°C, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal feature. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly that supports the market’s emphasis on 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the event remains the key variable that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,136结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance shows London reaching a daytime maximum of 28°C on August 4 under building high pressure and southerly flow that advects warmer air, following a peak near 31°C the previous day. Ensemble and deterministic model runs cluster around 27–29°C, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal feature. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly that supports the market’s emphasis on 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the event remains the key variable that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,136结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETLatest Met Office guidance shows London reaching a daytime maximum of 28°C on August 4 under building high pressure and southerly flow that advects warmer air, following a peak near 31°C the previous day. Ensemble and deterministic model runs cluster around 27–29°C, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak frontal feature. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly that supports the market’s emphasis on 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the event remains the key variable that could shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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