Trader consensus clusters around 20–22°C for Cape Town’s August 4 maximum because short-range model guidance shows typical winter variability from the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. In Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime, westerly winds and Atlantic lows often bring increased cloud cover and onshore flow that limits solar heating and caps highs near or below the 17°C seasonal average, while clearer intervals or offshore berg winds allow modest warming. Ensemble spreads remain wide this far ahead of the event, reflecting divergence in predicted frontal speed and marine layer depth, which keeps implied probabilities distributed across the 19–22°C range rather than concentrating on a single outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日开普敦气温最高？
8月4日开普敦气温最高？
21°C 25%
20°C 19%
22°C 19%
19°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
18°C或以下
14%
19°C
18%
20°C
19%
21°C
25%
22°C
19%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
1%
21°C 25%
20°C 19%
22°C 19%
19°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
18°C或以下
$16 交易量
14%
19°C
$55 交易量
18%
20°C
$22 交易量
19%
21°C
$159 交易量
25%
22°C
$184 交易量
19%
23°C
$161 交易量
5%
24°C
$32 交易量
3%
25°C
$63 交易量
5%
26°C
$91 交易量
1%
27°C
$10 交易量
1%
28°C或更高
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 20–22°C for Cape Town’s August 4 maximum because short-range model guidance shows typical winter variability from the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. In Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime, westerly winds and Atlantic lows often bring increased cloud cover and onshore flow that limits solar heating and caps highs near or below the 17°C seasonal average, while clearer intervals or offshore berg winds allow modest warming. Ensemble spreads remain wide this far ahead of the event, reflecting divergence in predicted frontal speed and marine layer depth, which keeps implied probabilities distributed across the 19–22°C range rather than concentrating on a single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$803结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 20–22°C for Cape Town’s August 4 maximum because short-range model guidance shows typical winter variability from the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. In Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime, westerly winds and Atlantic lows often bring increased cloud cover and onshore flow that limits solar heating and caps highs near or below the 17°C seasonal average, while clearer intervals or offshore berg winds allow modest warming. Ensemble spreads remain wide this far ahead of the event, reflecting divergence in predicted frontal speed and marine layer depth, which keeps implied probabilities distributed across the 19–22°C range rather than concentrating on a single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$803结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 1:04 AM ETTrader consensus clusters around 20–22°C for Cape Town’s August 4 maximum because short-range model guidance shows typical winter variability from the timing and strength of an approaching cold front. In Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime, westerly winds and Atlantic lows often bring increased cloud cover and onshore flow that limits solar heating and caps highs near or below the 17°C seasonal average, while clearer intervals or offshore berg winds allow modest warming. Ensemble spreads remain wide this far ahead of the event, reflecting divergence in predicted frontal speed and marine layer depth, which keeps implied probabilities distributed across the 19–22°C range rather than concentrating on a single outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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