**Trader consensus has locked in at 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 4, 2026, reflecting verified observations from official monitoring stations.** Summer climatology in the region typically produces nighttime minima near 26°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, with high humidity and minimal synoptic forcing from fronts or tropical systems keeping values stable overnight. Recent model guidance and local forecasts aligned closely with this range, showing overcast skies and light winds that prevented greater radiative cooling. The market's near-certain positioning stems from the absence of any data revisions or anomalous events that could alter the recorded minimum. Only an unexpected late correction in official Hong Kong Observatory readings or measurement discrepancies at specific stations could realistically shift the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日香港最低气温？
8月4日香港最低气温？
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$29,567 交易量
$29,567 交易量
2026-08-04
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$29,567 交易量
$29,567 交易量
2026-08-04
21°C或以下
$641 交易量
否
22°C
$874 交易量
否
23°C
$1,134 交易量
否
24°C
$2,719 交易量
否
25°C
$6,201 交易量
否
26°C
$9,277 交易量
是
27°C
$5,451 交易量
否
28°C
$1,565 交易量
否
29°C
$655 交易量
否
30°C
$460 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$590 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has locked in at 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 4, 2026, reflecting verified observations from official monitoring stations.** Summer climatology in the region typically produces nighttime minima near 26°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, with high humidity and minimal synoptic forcing from fronts or tropical systems keeping values stable overnight. Recent model guidance and local forecasts aligned closely with this range, showing overcast skies and light winds that prevented greater radiative cooling. The market's near-certain positioning stems from the absence of any data revisions or anomalous events that could alter the recorded minimum. Only an unexpected late correction in official Hong Kong Observatory readings or measurement discrepancies at specific stations could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$29,567结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has locked in at 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 4, 2026, reflecting verified observations from official monitoring stations.** Summer climatology in the region typically produces nighttime minima near 26°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, with high humidity and minimal synoptic forcing from fronts or tropical systems keeping values stable overnight. Recent model guidance and local forecasts aligned closely with this range, showing overcast skies and light winds that prevented greater radiative cooling. The market's near-certain positioning stems from the absence of any data revisions or anomalous events that could alter the recorded minimum. Only an unexpected late correction in official Hong Kong Observatory readings or measurement discrepancies at specific stations could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$29,567结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader consensus has locked in at 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 4, 2026, reflecting verified observations from official monitoring stations.** Summer climatology in the region typically produces nighttime minima near 26°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, with high humidity and minimal synoptic forcing from fronts or tropical systems keeping values stable overnight. Recent model guidance and local forecasts aligned closely with this range, showing overcast skies and light winds that prevented greater radiative cooling. The market's near-certain positioning stems from the absence of any data revisions or anomalous events that could alter the recorded minimum. Only an unexpected late correction in official Hong Kong Observatory readings or measurement discrepancies at specific stations could realistically shift the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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