Recent short-range model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13 driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 16–18°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched 15–17°C outcomes, each near 25 percent implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical late-summer variability around the seasonal 22°C climatological mean. Updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日莫斯科最高气温？
8月13日莫斯科最高气温？
16℃ 28%
17°C 26%
15°C 22%
18°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
12°C或以下
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
11%
15°C
22%
16℃
28%
17°C
26%
18°C
14%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C
6%
22°C或更高
2%
16℃ 28%
17°C 26%
15°C 22%
18°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
12°C或以下
$5 交易量
2%
13°C
$28 交易量
4%
14°C
$20 交易量
11%
15°C
$25 交易量
22%
16℃
$93 交易量
28%
17°C
$64 交易量
26%
18°C
$236 交易量
14%
19°C
$16 交易量
5%
20°C
$17 交易量
6%
21°C
$12 交易量
6%
22°C或更高
$12 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13 driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 16–18°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched 15–17°C outcomes, each near 25 percent implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical late-summer variability around the seasonal 22°C climatological mean. Updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$528结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13 driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 16–18°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched 15–17°C outcomes, each near 25 percent implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical late-summer variability around the seasonal 22°C climatological mean. Updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$528结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13 driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 16–18°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched 15–17°C outcomes, each near 25 percent implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical late-summer variability around the seasonal 22°C climatological mean. Updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题