Recent Met Office guidance and European model runs highlight a strong high-pressure system driving hot, sunny conditions across southeast England on August 13, with maximum temperatures expected to reach 35–36 °C in central London. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and the precise timing of any weakening Atlantic flow create the narrow spread between these two outcomes. Official forecasts currently cluster around 35–36 °C, consistent with the near-even market split, while higher readings would require stronger southerly advection or delayed cloud cover that current ensembles show as lower-probability scenarios. Updated model guidance later today could shift the balance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日伦敦气温最高？
8月13日伦敦气温最高？
36°C 43%
35°C 40%
34°C 8%
37°C 7%
最新
$17,886 交易量
最新
$17,886 交易量
2026-08-13
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
8%
35°C
40%
36°C
43%
37°C
7%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 43%
35°C 40%
34°C 8%
37°C 7%
最新
$17,886 交易量
最新
$17,886 交易量
2026-08-13
30°C or below
$3,995 交易量
<1%
31°C
$936 交易量
<1%
32°C
$749 交易量
1%
33°C
$1,461 交易量
3%
34°C
$2,448 交易量
8%
35°C
$2,821 交易量
40%
36°C
$2,666 交易量
43%
37°C
$1,101 交易量
7%
38°C
$1,052 交易量
2%
39°C
$325 交易量
1%
40°C or higher
$358 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and European model runs highlight a strong high-pressure system driving hot, sunny conditions across southeast England on August 13, with maximum temperatures expected to reach 35–36 °C in central London. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and the precise timing of any weakening Atlantic flow create the narrow spread between these two outcomes. Official forecasts currently cluster around 35–36 °C, consistent with the near-even market split, while higher readings would require stronger southerly advection or delayed cloud cover that current ensembles show as lower-probability scenarios. Updated model guidance later today could shift the balance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$17,886结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and European model runs highlight a strong high-pressure system driving hot, sunny conditions across southeast England on August 13, with maximum temperatures expected to reach 35–36 °C in central London. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and the precise timing of any weakening Atlantic flow create the narrow spread between these two outcomes. Official forecasts currently cluster around 35–36 °C, consistent with the near-even market split, while higher readings would require stronger southerly advection or delayed cloud cover that current ensembles show as lower-probability scenarios. Updated model guidance later today could shift the balance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,886结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and European model runs highlight a strong high-pressure system driving hot, sunny conditions across southeast England on August 13, with maximum temperatures expected to reach 35–36 °C in central London. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and the precise timing of any weakening Atlantic flow create the narrow spread between these two outcomes. Official forecasts currently cluster around 35–36 °C, consistent with the near-even market split, while higher readings would require stronger southerly advection or delayed cloud cover that current ensembles show as lower-probability scenarios. Updated model guidance later today could shift the balance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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