Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C in London on August 12 under building high pressure advecting warmer air from the south, following a summer already running 1.8°C above the long-term average with multiple heat episodes. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value due to variable cloud cover and wind, supporting the market's emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes. Historical August baselines near 22°C provide context for the current anomaly, with official updates expected to refine land-breeze and urban heat-island effects ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日伦敦气温最高？
8月12日伦敦气温最高？
31°C 40%
30°C 27%
32°C 20.6%
33°C 7%
最新
$17,196 交易量
最新
$17,196 交易量
2026-08-12
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
27%
31°C
40%
32°C
21%
33°C
7%
34°C或更高
2%
31°C 40%
30°C 27%
32°C 20.6%
33°C 7%
最新
$17,196 交易量
最新
$17,196 交易量
2026-08-12
24°C or below
$672 交易量
<1%
25°C
$398 交易量
<1%
26°C
$800 交易量
<1%
27°C
$630 交易量
1%
28°C
$876 交易量
3%
29°C
$2,350 交易量
6%
30°C
$4,130 交易量
27%
31°C
$4,091 交易量
40%
32°C
$1,308 交易量
21%
33°C
$986 交易量
7%
34°C或更高
$956 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C in London on August 12 under building high pressure advecting warmer air from the south, following a summer already running 1.8°C above the long-term average with multiple heat episodes. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value due to variable cloud cover and wind, supporting the market's emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes. Historical August baselines near 22°C provide context for the current anomaly, with official updates expected to refine land-breeze and urban heat-island effects ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$17,196结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C in London on August 12 under building high pressure advecting warmer air from the south, following a summer already running 1.8°C above the long-term average with multiple heat episodes. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value due to variable cloud cover and wind, supporting the market's emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes. Historical August baselines near 22°C provide context for the current anomaly, with official updates expected to refine land-breeze and urban heat-island effects ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,196结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C in London on August 12 under building high pressure advecting warmer air from the south, following a summer already running 1.8°C above the long-term average with multiple heat episodes. Ensemble models show modest spread around this value due to variable cloud cover and wind, supporting the market's emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes. Historical August baselines near 22°C provide context for the current anomaly, with official updates expected to refine land-breeze and urban heat-island effects ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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