Traders assign the highest implied probability (40.5%) to a 33°C peak in Panama City on August 12 because recent model guidance and climatological norms place daily maxima near or slightly above the 32°C August average during the wet season. Afternoon convection tied to the ITCZ and high boundary-layer moisture often produces scattered thunderstorms that can either suppress or briefly enhance temperatures depending on timing and cloud cover. With outcomes clustered tightly between 32°C and 34°C, small differences in insolation, wind, or storm initiation now separate the leading resolutions, and any late-day clearing or delayed rainfall would favor the upper end of that range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日巴拿马城气温最高？
8月12日巴拿马城气温最高？
33°C 41%
32°C 32%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
32%
33°C
41%
34°C
17%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
1%
33°C 41%
32°C 32%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
26°C或以下
$445 交易量
<1%
27°C
$443 交易量
<1%
28°C
$441 交易量
<1%
29°C
$376 交易量
1%
30°C
$188 交易量
2%
31°C
$825 交易量
12%
32°C
$1,588 交易量
32%
33°C
$878 交易量
41%
34°C
$2,181 交易量
17%
35°C
$506 交易量
2%
36°C或更高
$332 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (40.5%) to a 33°C peak in Panama City on August 12 because recent model guidance and climatological norms place daily maxima near or slightly above the 32°C August average during the wet season. Afternoon convection tied to the ITCZ and high boundary-layer moisture often produces scattered thunderstorms that can either suppress or briefly enhance temperatures depending on timing and cloud cover. With outcomes clustered tightly between 32°C and 34°C, small differences in insolation, wind, or storm initiation now separate the leading resolutions, and any late-day clearing or delayed rainfall would favor the upper end of that range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$8,203结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (40.5%) to a 33°C peak in Panama City on August 12 because recent model guidance and climatological norms place daily maxima near or slightly above the 32°C August average during the wet season. Afternoon convection tied to the ITCZ and high boundary-layer moisture often produces scattered thunderstorms that can either suppress or briefly enhance temperatures depending on timing and cloud cover. With outcomes clustered tightly between 32°C and 34°C, small differences in insolation, wind, or storm initiation now separate the leading resolutions, and any late-day clearing or delayed rainfall would favor the upper end of that range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,203结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETTraders assign the highest implied probability (40.5%) to a 33°C peak in Panama City on August 12 because recent model guidance and climatological norms place daily maxima near or slightly above the 32°C August average during the wet season. Afternoon convection tied to the ITCZ and high boundary-layer moisture often produces scattered thunderstorms that can either suppress or briefly enhance temperatures depending on timing and cloud cover. With outcomes clustered tightly between 32°C and 34°C, small differences in insolation, wind, or storm initiation now separate the leading resolutions, and any late-day clearing or delayed rainfall would favor the upper end of that range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题