Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 14 indicate a likely daily high near 31–32°C, driven by persistent summer humidity, scattered thundershowers, and moderating airflow that limits extreme heating. International and regional models show consistency in this range, with urban heat island effects and typical mid-August climatology reinforcing probabilities around these values while capping upside risk below 34°C. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty bands in ensemble guidance, noting that any delay in rain or shifts in steering patterns could nudge outcomes slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日北京气温最高？
8月14日北京气温最高？
32°C 37%
33°C 25%
31°C 23%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
25°C及以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
23%
32°C
37%
33°C
25%
34°C
7%
35°C或更高
4%
32°C 37%
33°C 25%
31°C 23%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
25°C及以下
$677 交易量
<1%
26°C
$932 交易量
<1%
27°C
$554 交易量
<1%
28°C
$36 交易量
1%
29°C
$447 交易量
4%
30°C
$86 交易量
7%
31°C
$157 交易量
23%
32°C
$2,593 交易量
37%
33°C
$45 交易量
25%
34°C
$64 交易量
7%
35°C或更高
$65 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 14 indicate a likely daily high near 31–32°C, driven by persistent summer humidity, scattered thundershowers, and moderating airflow that limits extreme heating. International and regional models show consistency in this range, with urban heat island effects and typical mid-August climatology reinforcing probabilities around these values while capping upside risk below 34°C. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty bands in ensemble guidance, noting that any delay in rain or shifts in steering patterns could nudge outcomes slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$5,655结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 14 indicate a likely daily high near 31–32°C, driven by persistent summer humidity, scattered thundershowers, and moderating airflow that limits extreme heating. International and regional models show consistency in this range, with urban heat island effects and typical mid-August climatology reinforcing probabilities around these values while capping upside risk below 34°C. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty bands in ensemble guidance, noting that any delay in rain or shifts in steering patterns could nudge outcomes slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,655结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 14 indicate a likely daily high near 31–32°C, driven by persistent summer humidity, scattered thundershowers, and moderating airflow that limits extreme heating. International and regional models show consistency in this range, with urban heat island effects and typical mid-August climatology reinforcing probabilities around these values while capping upside risk below 34°C. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty bands in ensemble guidance, noting that any delay in rain or shifts in steering patterns could nudge outcomes slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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