Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show a narrow cluster of maximum temperatures for Wuhan on August 13, with ensemble means centered between 27–29 °C. This tight spread reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, daytime cloud cover, and the strength of the subtropical high, all of which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Recent upper-air analyses indicate slightly below-normal 500 hPa heights over central China, limiting extreme heating relative to climatological August norms, while light winds reduce mixing and allow localized urban warming. Updated model runs arriving over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables and are expected to tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日武汉气温最高?
28°C 30%
27°C 25%
29°C 22%
26°C 12%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
12%
27°C
25%
28°C
30%
29°C
22%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 30%
27°C 25%
29°C 22%
26°C 12%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
12%
27°C
25%
28°C
30%
29°C
22%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show a narrow cluster of maximum temperatures for Wuhan on August 13, with ensemble means centered between 27–29 °C. This tight spread reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, daytime cloud cover, and the strength of the subtropical high, all of which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Recent upper-air analyses indicate slightly below-normal 500 hPa heights over central China, limiting extreme heating relative to climatological August norms, while light winds reduce mixing and allow localized urban warming. Updated model runs arriving over the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables and are expected to tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题