Recent model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles highlight variable monsoon influences and incoming moisture, producing a forecast spread centered on 29–31°C highs for Beijing on August 13 amid possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Climatological August averages near 30°C provide a baseline, yet current guidance shows cooling from cloud cover and rain compared with earlier heat, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Traders weigh these short-term variables against historical extremes above 32°C when clear conditions prevail, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from Beijing stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日北京气温最高？
8月13日北京气温最高？
31°C 24%
30°C 23%
29°C 16%
32°C或更高 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
8%
28°C
11%
29°C
16%
30°C
23%
31°C
24%
32°C或更高
16%
31°C 24%
30°C 23%
29°C 16%
32°C或更高 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
22°C或以下
$542 交易量
<1%
23°C
$167 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,021 交易量
1%
25°C
$243 交易量
3%
26°C
$305 交易量
6%
27°C
$460 交易量
8%
28°C
$480 交易量
11%
29°C
$455 交易量
16%
30°C
$161 交易量
23%
31°C
$278 交易量
24%
32°C或更高
$1,972 交易量
16%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles highlight variable monsoon influences and incoming moisture, producing a forecast spread centered on 29–31°C highs for Beijing on August 13 amid possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Climatological August averages near 30°C provide a baseline, yet current guidance shows cooling from cloud cover and rain compared with earlier heat, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Traders weigh these short-term variables against historical extremes above 32°C when clear conditions prevail, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from Beijing stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$6,084结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles highlight variable monsoon influences and incoming moisture, producing a forecast spread centered on 29–31°C highs for Beijing on August 13 amid possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Climatological August averages near 30°C provide a baseline, yet current guidance shows cooling from cloud cover and rain compared with earlier heat, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Traders weigh these short-term variables against historical extremes above 32°C when clear conditions prevail, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from Beijing stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,084结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles highlight variable monsoon influences and incoming moisture, producing a forecast spread centered on 29–31°C highs for Beijing on August 13 amid possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Climatological August averages near 30°C provide a baseline, yet current guidance shows cooling from cloud cover and rain compared with earlier heat, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Traders weigh these short-term variables against historical extremes above 32°C when clear conditions prevail, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings from Beijing stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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