Recent official forecasts and Hong Kong Observatory data point to daily maximum temperatures near 34–36 °C on August 11 amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal conditions driven by long-term warming trends. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat-island amplification at the central observatory site support the market's tight clustering around these values, while model variability in afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers introduces uncertainty that could trim peaks by 1–2 °C or allow brief spikes higher. Historical August averages near 31 °C underscore the elevated baseline, with traders weighing ensemble guidance and prior-day readings of 34.7 °C to differentiate the closely matched 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C outcomes ahead of final Observatory measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日香港气温最高？
8月11日香港气温最高？
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 22%
37°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
22%
37°C
8%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 22%
37°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
30°C or below
$97 交易量
1%
31°C
$44 交易量
1%
32°C
$247 交易量
1%
33°C
$23 交易量
8%
34°C
$373 交易量
30%
35°C
$82 交易量
35%
36°C
$60 交易量
22%
37°C
$666 交易量
8%
38°C
$1,159 交易量
3%
39°C
$27 交易量
1%
40°C or higher
$42 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts and Hong Kong Observatory data point to daily maximum temperatures near 34–36 °C on August 11 amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal conditions driven by long-term warming trends. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat-island amplification at the central observatory site support the market's tight clustering around these values, while model variability in afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers introduces uncertainty that could trim peaks by 1–2 °C or allow brief spikes higher. Historical August averages near 31 °C underscore the elevated baseline, with traders weighing ensemble guidance and prior-day readings of 34.7 °C to differentiate the closely matched 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C outcomes ahead of final Observatory measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$2,819结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts and Hong Kong Observatory data point to daily maximum temperatures near 34–36 °C on August 11 amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal conditions driven by long-term warming trends. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat-island amplification at the central observatory site support the market's tight clustering around these values, while model variability in afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers introduces uncertainty that could trim peaks by 1–2 °C or allow brief spikes higher. Historical August averages near 31 °C underscore the elevated baseline, with traders weighing ensemble guidance and prior-day readings of 34.7 °C to differentiate the closely matched 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C outcomes ahead of final Observatory measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,819结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and Hong Kong Observatory data point to daily maximum temperatures near 34–36 °C on August 11 amid normal-to-above-normal seasonal conditions driven by long-term warming trends. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat-island amplification at the central observatory site support the market's tight clustering around these values, while model variability in afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers introduces uncertainty that could trim peaks by 1–2 °C or allow brief spikes higher. Historical August averages near 31 °C underscore the elevated baseline, with traders weighing ensemble guidance and prior-day readings of 34.7 °C to differentiate the closely matched 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C outcomes ahead of final Observatory measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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