Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo’s overnight low reaching 22°C on August 11 under a persistent Pacific High, increased cloud cover, and rising humidity that limits radiational cooling. This places the reading slightly below the long-term August minimum of 23.7°C. Model consensus across official sources has converged on this threshold, with only minor 1°C variations possible from shifts in cloud timing or precipitation timing. Traders have priced in near-certainty because resolution hinges on verified station observations rather than forecasts, and current conditions leave little room for the low to deviate meaningfully. Clearer skies or drier air could theoretically allow an extra degree of cooling, though latest guidance shows no such development.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日东京气温最低？
8月11日东京气温最低？
22°C 100%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$16,125 交易量
$16,125 交易量
2026-08-11
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
22°C 100%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$16,125 交易量
$16,125 交易量
2026-08-11
18°C或以下
$323 交易量
否
19°C
$1,045 交易量
否
20°C
$1,489 交易量
否
21°C
$1,701 交易量
否
22°C
$3,460 交易量
是
23°C
$4,108 交易量
否
24°C
$1,330 交易量
否
25°C
$557 交易量
否
26°C
$1,023 交易量
否
27°C
$678 交易量
否
28°C或更高
$410 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo’s overnight low reaching 22°C on August 11 under a persistent Pacific High, increased cloud cover, and rising humidity that limits radiational cooling. This places the reading slightly below the long-term August minimum of 23.7°C. Model consensus across official sources has converged on this threshold, with only minor 1°C variations possible from shifts in cloud timing or precipitation timing. Traders have priced in near-certainty because resolution hinges on verified station observations rather than forecasts, and current conditions leave little room for the low to deviate meaningfully. Clearer skies or drier air could theoretically allow an extra degree of cooling, though latest guidance shows no such development.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$16,125结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo’s overnight low reaching 22°C on August 11 under a persistent Pacific High, increased cloud cover, and rising humidity that limits radiational cooling. This places the reading slightly below the long-term August minimum of 23.7°C. Model consensus across official sources has converged on this threshold, with only minor 1°C variations possible from shifts in cloud timing or precipitation timing. Traders have priced in near-certainty because resolution hinges on verified station observations rather than forecasts, and current conditions leave little room for the low to deviate meaningfully. Clearer skies or drier air could theoretically allow an extra degree of cooling, though latest guidance shows no such development.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,125结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo’s overnight low reaching 22°C on August 11 under a persistent Pacific High, increased cloud cover, and rising humidity that limits radiational cooling. This places the reading slightly below the long-term August minimum of 23.7°C. Model consensus across official sources has converged on this threshold, with only minor 1°C variations possible from shifts in cloud timing or precipitation timing. Traders have priced in near-certainty because resolution hinges on verified station observations rather than forecasts, and current conditions leave little room for the low to deviate meaningfully. Clearer skies or drier air could theoretically allow an extra degree of cooling, though latest guidance shows no such development.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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