Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 25 centered near 20–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and easterly winds near 5–10 km/h. These conditions, following the autumn equinox, limit both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling while the lingering influence of the Pacific high maintains moderate humidity. Historical September minima average around 18–21°C, and current ensemble guidance shows low probability of dropping below 19°C or exceeding 23°C absent a sharper frontal passage. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 22°C and 21°C outcomes as model consensus stabilizes ahead of the final 48-hour updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日东京最低气温？
9月25日东京最低气温？
22°C 40%
21°C 35%
17°C或以下 27%
19°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
17°C或以下
27%
18°C
20%
19°C
23%
20°C
15%
21°C
35%
22°C
44%
23°C
16%
24°C
21%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C或更高
1%
22°C 40%
21°C 35%
17°C或以下 27%
19°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
17°C或以下
$0 交易量
27%
18°C
$0 交易量
20%
19°C
$0 交易量
23%
20°C
$0 交易量
15%
21°C
$25 交易量
35%
22°C
$355 交易量
44%
23°C
$0 交易量
16%
24°C
$0 交易量
21%
25°C
$0 交易量
20%
26°C
$0 交易量
20%
27°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 25 centered near 20–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and easterly winds near 5–10 km/h. These conditions, following the autumn equinox, limit both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling while the lingering influence of the Pacific high maintains moderate humidity. Historical September minima average around 18–21°C, and current ensemble guidance shows low probability of dropping below 19°C or exceeding 23°C absent a sharper frontal passage. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 22°C and 21°C outcomes as model consensus stabilizes ahead of the final 48-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$380结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 25 centered near 20–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and easterly winds near 5–10 km/h. These conditions, following the autumn equinox, limit both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling while the lingering influence of the Pacific high maintains moderate humidity. Historical September minima average around 18–21°C, and current ensemble guidance shows low probability of dropping below 19°C or exceeding 23°C absent a sharper frontal passage. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 22°C and 21°C outcomes as model consensus stabilizes ahead of the final 48-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$380结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on September 25 centered near 20–22°C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and easterly winds near 5–10 km/h. These conditions, following the autumn equinox, limit both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling while the lingering influence of the Pacific high maintains moderate humidity. Historical September minima average around 18–21°C, and current ensemble guidance shows low probability of dropping below 19°C or exceeding 23°C absent a sharper frontal passage. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 22°C and 21°C outcomes as model consensus stabilizes ahead of the final 48-hour updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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