Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS runs, supports a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on September 25 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds around those values. High pressure and dry air masses limit cloud cover and enhance daytime insolation, while modest winds reduce mixing that could otherwise cap warming. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, though interannual variability and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any residual cloud can alter the peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range typical of 48-hour forecasts against potential late adjustments from updated model guidance or KNMI observational verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月25日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
22°C 50%
21°C 27%
20°C 21%
25°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
16°C或以下
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
10%
20°C
21%
21°C
27%
22°C
44%
23°C
8%
24°C
15%
25°C
17%
26°C或更高
9%
22°C 50%
21°C 27%
20°C 21%
25°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
4%
18°C
$8 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
10%
20°C
$2 交易量
21%
21°C
$0 交易量
27%
22°C
$278 交易量
44%
23°C
$173 交易量
8%
24°C
$15 交易量
15%
25°C
$0 交易量
17%
26°C或更高
$0 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS runs, supports a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on September 25 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds around those values. High pressure and dry air masses limit cloud cover and enhance daytime insolation, while modest winds reduce mixing that could otherwise cap warming. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, though interannual variability and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any residual cloud can alter the peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range typical of 48-hour forecasts against potential late adjustments from updated model guidance or KNMI observational verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$475结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS runs, supports a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on September 25 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds around those values. High pressure and dry air masses limit cloud cover and enhance daytime insolation, while modest winds reduce mixing that could otherwise cap warming. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, though interannual variability and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any residual cloud can alter the peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range typical of 48-hour forecasts against potential late adjustments from updated model guidance or KNMI observational verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$475结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent European model consensus, including ECMWF and GFS runs, supports a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on September 25 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds around those values. High pressure and dry air masses limit cloud cover and enhance daytime insolation, while modest winds reduce mixing that could otherwise cap warming. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, though interannual variability and subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any residual cloud can alter the peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range typical of 48-hour forecasts against potential late adjustments from updated model guidance or KNMI observational verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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