Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a high-pressure ridge over the North Sea will bring mostly clear skies and light southerly winds to Amsterdam on September 25, 2026, promoting radiational cooling overnight and supporting a minimum temperature near 8–11°C. Recent runs show the overnight low potentially reaching 8–9°C under clear conditions, while daytime highs climb to 19–21°C. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 7–9°C, with modest weight on colder outliers if cooling strengthens or warmer scenarios if cloud cover increases. Model consensus remains moderate given the short lead time and typical late-September variability in boundary-layer temperatures. Updated NWP guidance and observational trends over the next 48 hours will refine the expected minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
9月25日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
5°C或以下 45%
15°C或更高 45%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
5°C或以下
45%
6°C
39%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
26%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13℃
39%
14°C
39%
15°C或更高
45%
5°C或以下 45%
15°C或更高 45%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
5°C或以下
$0 交易量
45%
6°C
$0 交易量
39%
7°C
$0 交易量
40%
8°C
$0 交易量
40%
9°C
$0 交易量
26%
10°C
$0 交易量
39%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13℃
$0 交易量
39%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C或更高
$0 交易量
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a high-pressure ridge over the North Sea will bring mostly clear skies and light southerly winds to Amsterdam on September 25, 2026, promoting radiational cooling overnight and supporting a minimum temperature near 8–11°C. Recent runs show the overnight low potentially reaching 8–9°C under clear conditions, while daytime highs climb to 19–21°C. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 7–9°C, with modest weight on colder outliers if cooling strengthens or warmer scenarios if cloud cover increases. Model consensus remains moderate given the short lead time and typical late-September variability in boundary-layer temperatures. Updated NWP guidance and observational trends over the next 48 hours will refine the expected minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a high-pressure ridge over the North Sea will bring mostly clear skies and light southerly winds to Amsterdam on September 25, 2026, promoting radiational cooling overnight and supporting a minimum temperature near 8–11°C. Recent runs show the overnight low potentially reaching 8–9°C under clear conditions, while daytime highs climb to 19–21°C. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 7–9°C, with modest weight on colder outliers if cooling strengthens or warmer scenarios if cloud cover increases. Model consensus remains moderate given the short lead time and typical late-September variability in boundary-layer temperatures. Updated NWP guidance and observational trends over the next 48 hours will refine the expected minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a high-pressure ridge over the North Sea will bring mostly clear skies and light southerly winds to Amsterdam on September 25, 2026, promoting radiational cooling overnight and supporting a minimum temperature near 8–11°C. Recent runs show the overnight low potentially reaching 8–9°C under clear conditions, while daytime highs climb to 19–21°C. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 7–9°C, with modest weight on colder outliers if cooling strengthens or warmer scenarios if cloud cover increases. Model consensus remains moderate given the short lead time and typical late-September variability in boundary-layer temperatures. Updated NWP guidance and observational trends over the next 48 hours will refine the expected minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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