Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 11–12°C in Amsterdam on September 24, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air after a period of southerly flow, combined with partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-September climatology, where average minima hover around 10–11°C, though clear breaks could allow temperatures to dip toward 9°C while persistent clouds or mixing might hold values near 13–14°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and local station data from Schiphol amid typical model spread in boundary-layer processes. Updated runs ahead of the 24th will refine wind and cloud forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
9月24日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
7°C或以下
2%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
13%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C或更高
2%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
8°C
$0 交易量
39%
9°C
$0 交易量
39%
10°C
$0 交易量
40%
11°C
$0 交易量
40%
12°C
$5 交易量
13%
13°C
$0 交易量
39%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 11–12°C in Amsterdam on September 24, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air after a period of southerly flow, combined with partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-September climatology, where average minima hover around 10–11°C, though clear breaks could allow temperatures to dip toward 9°C while persistent clouds or mixing might hold values near 13–14°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and local station data from Schiphol amid typical model spread in boundary-layer processes. Updated runs ahead of the 24th will refine wind and cloud forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 11–12°C in Amsterdam on September 24, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air after a period of southerly flow, combined with partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-September climatology, where average minima hover around 10–11°C, though clear breaks could allow temperatures to dip toward 9°C while persistent clouds or mixing might hold values near 13–14°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and local station data from Schiphol amid typical model spread in boundary-layer processes. Updated runs ahead of the 24th will refine wind and cloud forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate an overnight low near 11–12°C in Amsterdam on September 24, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air after a period of southerly flow, combined with partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-September climatology, where average minima hover around 10–11°C, though clear breaks could allow temperatures to dip toward 9°C while persistent clouds or mixing might hold values near 13–14°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble guidance and local station data from Schiphol amid typical model spread in boundary-layer processes. Updated runs ahead of the 24th will refine wind and cloud forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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