Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a high of 24°C for London on September 22 under high pressure with sunny intervals and light southerly winds, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability. Model guidance and observational trends support a narrow range centered on 23–25°C, with 23°C and 25°C each near 23% as traders weigh minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Late-September climatology shows typical maxima around 18–20°C, but the current anticyclonic setup has sustained above-normal warmth without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日伦敦气温最高？
9月22日伦敦气温最高？
24°C 44%
25°C 30%
23°C 21%
22°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
8%
23°C
21%
24°C
44%
25°C
30%
26°C或更高
3%
24°C 44%
25°C 30%
23°C 21%
22°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
16°C或以下
$86 交易量
<1%
17°C
$125 交易量
<1%
18°C
$125 交易量
<1%
19°C
$83 交易量
<1%
20°C
$178 交易量
<1%
21°C
$222 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,306 交易量
8%
23°C
$2,474 交易量
21%
24°C
$1,511 交易量
44%
25°C
$2,637 交易量
30%
26°C或更高
$1,161 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a high of 24°C for London on September 22 under high pressure with sunny intervals and light southerly winds, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability. Model guidance and observational trends support a narrow range centered on 23–25°C, with 23°C and 25°C each near 23% as traders weigh minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Late-September climatology shows typical maxima around 18–20°C, but the current anticyclonic setup has sustained above-normal warmth without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$9,909结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a high of 24°C for London on September 22 under high pressure with sunny intervals and light southerly winds, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability. Model guidance and observational trends support a narrow range centered on 23–25°C, with 23°C and 25°C each near 23% as traders weigh minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Late-September climatology shows typical maxima around 18–20°C, but the current anticyclonic setup has sustained above-normal warmth without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,909结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a high of 24°C for London on September 22 under high pressure with sunny intervals and light southerly winds, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability. Model guidance and observational trends support a narrow range centered on 23–25°C, with 23°C and 25°C each near 23% as traders weigh minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Late-September climatology shows typical maxima around 18–20°C, but the current anticyclonic setup has sustained above-normal warmth without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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