Forecasts from multiple models place Amsterdam's overnight low on September 22 near 14°C, with trader consensus centered on 12–14°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in final radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow limit temperature drops by reducing net longwave radiation loss, while any breaks in the overcast or lighter winds could allow greater surface cooling toward 12°C or below. Current mild Atlantic advection keeps readings above the early-September average of roughly 11°C, yet model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any frontal passage introduce the observed clustering around the middle of the distribution. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
9月22日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 39%
11°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
7°C或以下
4%
8°C
5%
9°C
7%
10°C
11%
11°C
19%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
39%
15°C
19%
16°C
11%
17°C或更高
7%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 39%
11°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
8°C
$0 交易量
5%
9°C
$0 交易量
7%
10°C
$0 交易量
11%
11°C
$0 交易量
19%
12°C
$0 交易量
40%
13°C
$0 交易量
40%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
19%
16°C
$0 交易量
11%
17°C或更高
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models place Amsterdam's overnight low on September 22 near 14°C, with trader consensus centered on 12–14°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in final radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow limit temperature drops by reducing net longwave radiation loss, while any breaks in the overcast or lighter winds could allow greater surface cooling toward 12°C or below. Current mild Atlantic advection keeps readings above the early-September average of roughly 11°C, yet model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any frontal passage introduce the observed clustering around the middle of the distribution. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models place Amsterdam's overnight low on September 22 near 14°C, with trader consensus centered on 12–14°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in final radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow limit temperature drops by reducing net longwave radiation loss, while any breaks in the overcast or lighter winds could allow greater surface cooling toward 12°C or below. Current mild Atlantic advection keeps readings above the early-September average of roughly 11°C, yet model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any frontal passage introduce the observed clustering around the middle of the distribution. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecasts from multiple models place Amsterdam's overnight low on September 22 near 14°C, with trader consensus centered on 12–14°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in final radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover and light southwesterly flow limit temperature drops by reducing net longwave radiation loss, while any breaks in the overcast or lighter winds could allow greater surface cooling toward 12°C or below. Current mild Atlantic advection keeps readings above the early-September average of roughly 11°C, yet model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any frontal passage introduce the observed clustering around the middle of the distribution. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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