Recent model consensus from sources like GFS indicates overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds will likely set Amsterdam's September 20 low in the 13–15°C range. Clearer intervals promote greater heat loss from the surface, while 15–20 km/h breezes limit extreme drops by mixing the boundary layer. Historical September averages near 12–14°C provide context, but current pressure gradients and dew points around 10–11°C support slightly milder minima. Minor forecast divergences on exact cloud timing and wind persistence keep implied probabilities tightly clustered, with traders weighing the latest hourly observations against ensemble spreads ahead of final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日阿姆斯特丹最低温度？
9月20日阿姆斯特丹最低温度？
14°C 50%
13°C 50%
12°C 48%
16°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
48%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
50%
16°C
27%
17°C
26%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
14°C 50%
13°C 50%
12°C 48%
16°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
11°C
$0 交易量
2%
12°C
$15 交易量
48%
13°C
$0 交易量
50%
14°C
$0 交易量
50%
15°C
$6 交易量
50%
16°C
$0 交易量
27%
17°C
$0 交易量
26%
18°C
$41 交易量
<1%
19°C
$41 交易量
<1%
20°C或更高
$41 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS indicates overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds will likely set Amsterdam's September 20 low in the 13–15°C range. Clearer intervals promote greater heat loss from the surface, while 15–20 km/h breezes limit extreme drops by mixing the boundary layer. Historical September averages near 12–14°C provide context, but current pressure gradients and dew points around 10–11°C support slightly milder minima. Minor forecast divergences on exact cloud timing and wind persistence keep implied probabilities tightly clustered, with traders weighing the latest hourly observations against ensemble spreads ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$145结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS indicates overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds will likely set Amsterdam's September 20 low in the 13–15°C range. Clearer intervals promote greater heat loss from the surface, while 15–20 km/h breezes limit extreme drops by mixing the boundary layer. Historical September averages near 12–14°C provide context, but current pressure gradients and dew points around 10–11°C support slightly milder minima. Minor forecast divergences on exact cloud timing and wind persistence keep implied probabilities tightly clustered, with traders weighing the latest hourly observations against ensemble spreads ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$145结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like GFS indicates overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds will likely set Amsterdam's September 20 low in the 13–15°C range. Clearer intervals promote greater heat loss from the surface, while 15–20 km/h breezes limit extreme drops by mixing the boundary layer. Historical September averages near 12–14°C provide context, but current pressure gradients and dew points around 10–11°C support slightly milder minima. Minor forecast divergences on exact cloud timing and wind persistence keep implied probabilities tightly clustered, with traders weighing the latest hourly observations against ensemble spreads ahead of final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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