Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a high of 24°C for Tokyo on September 20 amid widespread rain, overcast skies, and northerly winds around 10–20 km/h that suppress daytime heating. Model consensus across sources points to limited solar insolation and high humidity near 90%, consistent with a passing frontal system that has kept recent daily maxima in the low-to-mid 20s°C. Trader emphasis on the 24°C and 23°C outcomes reflects this near-term data, with only modest probability assigned to 25°C or higher given the expected cloud cover and precipitation totals exceeding 40–80 mm. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 12–24 hours will determine whether any late intensification shifts the maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日东京气温最高？
9月20日东京气温最高？
24°C 51%
23°C 32%
25°C 15%
22°C 3%
最新
$16,779 交易量
最新
$16,779 交易量
2026-09-20
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
32%
24°C
51%
25°C
15%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 51%
23°C 32%
25°C 15%
22°C 3%
最新
$16,779 交易量
最新
$16,779 交易量
2026-09-20
19°C或以下
$1,869 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,341 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,065 交易量
1%
22°C
$869 交易量
3%
23°C
$4,122 交易量
32%
24°C
$2,893 交易量
51%
25°C
$1,840 交易量
15%
26°C
$1,051 交易量
3%
27°C
$804 交易量
1%
28°C
$800 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$126 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a high of 24°C for Tokyo on September 20 amid widespread rain, overcast skies, and northerly winds around 10–20 km/h that suppress daytime heating. Model consensus across sources points to limited solar insolation and high humidity near 90%, consistent with a passing frontal system that has kept recent daily maxima in the low-to-mid 20s°C. Trader emphasis on the 24°C and 23°C outcomes reflects this near-term data, with only modest probability assigned to 25°C or higher given the expected cloud cover and precipitation totals exceeding 40–80 mm. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 12–24 hours will determine whether any late intensification shifts the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$16,779结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a high of 24°C for Tokyo on September 20 amid widespread rain, overcast skies, and northerly winds around 10–20 km/h that suppress daytime heating. Model consensus across sources points to limited solar insolation and high humidity near 90%, consistent with a passing frontal system that has kept recent daily maxima in the low-to-mid 20s°C. Trader emphasis on the 24°C and 23°C outcomes reflects this near-term data, with only modest probability assigned to 25°C or higher given the expected cloud cover and precipitation totals exceeding 40–80 mm. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 12–24 hours will determine whether any late intensification shifts the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,779结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a high of 24°C for Tokyo on September 20 amid widespread rain, overcast skies, and northerly winds around 10–20 km/h that suppress daytime heating. Model consensus across sources points to limited solar insolation and high humidity near 90%, consistent with a passing frontal system that has kept recent daily maxima in the low-to-mid 20s°C. Trader emphasis on the 24°C and 23°C outcomes reflects this near-term data, with only modest probability assigned to 25°C or higher given the expected cloud cover and precipitation totals exceeding 40–80 mm. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 12–24 hours will determine whether any late intensification shifts the maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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