Current forecast models from official sources indicate Shanghai's September 19 overnight low will likely settle near 24°C, aligning with the market's leading 45% implied probability for that outcome and the closely trailing 40.5% for 25°C. Persistent cloud cover, light northeast winds, and high humidity typical of the region's humid subtropical climate are limiting radiative cooling, while slight differences in model guidance on overnight cloud thickness and wind speed create the narrow spread between 23°C and 25°C. Trader consensus reflects these near-term atmospheric conditions and historical September minimums around 20–24°C, with uncertainty narrowing as the date approaches. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will provide the next key refinements before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日上海最低气温？
9月19日上海最低气温？
24°C 45%
25°C 41%
23°C 17%
20°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
19℃或以下
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
17%
24°C
45%
25°C
41%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C或更高
2%
24°C 45%
25°C 41%
23°C 17%
20°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
19℃或以下
$0 交易量
1%
20°C
$0 交易量
6%
21°C
$47 交易量
3%
22°C
$0 交易量
6%
23°C
$119 交易量
17%
24°C
$574 交易量
45%
25°C
$287 交易量
41%
26°C
$0 交易量
4%
27°C
$0 交易量
5%
28°C
$0 交易量
2%
29°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from official sources indicate Shanghai's September 19 overnight low will likely settle near 24°C, aligning with the market's leading 45% implied probability for that outcome and the closely trailing 40.5% for 25°C. Persistent cloud cover, light northeast winds, and high humidity typical of the region's humid subtropical climate are limiting radiative cooling, while slight differences in model guidance on overnight cloud thickness and wind speed create the narrow spread between 23°C and 25°C. Trader consensus reflects these near-term atmospheric conditions and historical September minimums around 20–24°C, with uncertainty narrowing as the date approaches. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will provide the next key refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,027结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from official sources indicate Shanghai's September 19 overnight low will likely settle near 24°C, aligning with the market's leading 45% implied probability for that outcome and the closely trailing 40.5% for 25°C. Persistent cloud cover, light northeast winds, and high humidity typical of the region's humid subtropical climate are limiting radiative cooling, while slight differences in model guidance on overnight cloud thickness and wind speed create the narrow spread between 23°C and 25°C. Trader consensus reflects these near-term atmospheric conditions and historical September minimums around 20–24°C, with uncertainty narrowing as the date approaches. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will provide the next key refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,027结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from official sources indicate Shanghai's September 19 overnight low will likely settle near 24°C, aligning with the market's leading 45% implied probability for that outcome and the closely trailing 40.5% for 25°C. Persistent cloud cover, light northeast winds, and high humidity typical of the region's humid subtropical climate are limiting radiative cooling, while slight differences in model guidance on overnight cloud thickness and wind speed create the narrow spread between 23°C and 25°C. Trader consensus reflects these near-term atmospheric conditions and historical September minimums around 20–24°C, with uncertainty narrowing as the date approaches. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will provide the next key refinements before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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