Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and model consensus pointed to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, moderating temperatures near the seasonal average low of 13°C for Toronto on September 19. This setup created tight clustering around 11°C as the most probable minimum, while differentiation among nearby thresholds like 8–9°C hinged on the exact timing of cloud breaks and dew-point depression that could enhance cooling. Stronger easterly flow and higher humidity limited deeper drops below 10°C, though model spreads left modest probability for cooler outcomes if clear-sky periods extended. Updated observational data near resolution reinforced the narrow range, with traders weighting surface observations against ensemble guidance for final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日多伦多最低气温？
9月19日多伦多最低气温？
5°C或以下 100%
8°C 100%
9°C 100%
6°C 18%
$2,270 交易量
$2,270 交易量
2026-09-19
5°C或以下
100%
6°C
18%
7°C
18%
8°C
100%
9°C
100%
10°C
7%
11°C
-
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C或更高
<1%
5°C或以下 100%
8°C 100%
9°C 100%
6°C 18%
$2,270 交易量
$2,270 交易量
2026-09-19
5°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
6°C
$0 交易量
18%
7°C
$0 交易量
18%
8°C
$15 交易量
100%
9°C
$15 交易量
100%
10°C
$61 交易量
7%
11°C
$55 交易量
-
12°C
$2,013 交易量
<1%
13°C
$37 交易量
<1%
14°C
$37 交易量
<1%
15°C或更高
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and model consensus pointed to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, moderating temperatures near the seasonal average low of 13°C for Toronto on September 19. This setup created tight clustering around 11°C as the most probable minimum, while differentiation among nearby thresholds like 8–9°C hinged on the exact timing of cloud breaks and dew-point depression that could enhance cooling. Stronger easterly flow and higher humidity limited deeper drops below 10°C, though model spreads left modest probability for cooler outcomes if clear-sky periods extended. Updated observational data near resolution reinforced the narrow range, with traders weighting surface observations against ensemble guidance for final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,270结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and model consensus pointed to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, moderating temperatures near the seasonal average low of 13°C for Toronto on September 19. This setup created tight clustering around 11°C as the most probable minimum, while differentiation among nearby thresholds like 8–9°C hinged on the exact timing of cloud breaks and dew-point depression that could enhance cooling. Stronger easterly flow and higher humidity limited deeper drops below 10°C, though model spreads left modest probability for cooler outcomes if clear-sky periods extended. Updated observational data near resolution reinforced the narrow range, with traders weighting surface observations against ensemble guidance for final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,270结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from Environment Canada and model consensus pointed to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, moderating temperatures near the seasonal average low of 13°C for Toronto on September 19. This setup created tight clustering around 11°C as the most probable minimum, while differentiation among nearby thresholds like 8–9°C hinged on the exact timing of cloud breaks and dew-point depression that could enhance cooling. Stronger easterly flow and higher humidity limited deeper drops below 10°C, though model spreads left modest probability for cooler outcomes if clear-sky periods extended. Updated observational data near resolution reinforced the narrow range, with traders weighting surface observations against ensemble guidance for final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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