**Forecast model consensus for Qingdao on September 22 points to a minimum near 18–19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, yet substantial spread in ensemble runs sustains the near-even split between 23°C+ and sub-13°C outcomes.** Northerly winds shifting southerly overnight reduce cold-air advection while promoting modest radiative cooling after sunset, typical for the coastal Yellow Sea location where sea-surface temperatures moderate extremes. Recent model updates show tighter clustering around 19°C lows compared with earlier runs, but residual uncertainty in boundary-layer humidity and exact timing of the wind veer keeps the 14°C bucket at 28% and sustains tail probabilities at both ends. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will resolve the market once the 24-hour minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日青岛最低气温？
9月22日青岛最低气温？
23°C或更高 86%
13°C或以下 85%
15°C 39%
17°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
13°C或以下
85%
14°C
28%
15°C
39%
16°C
37%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
13%
21°C
13%
22°C
13%
23°C或更高
86%
23°C或更高 86%
13°C或以下 85%
15°C 39%
17°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
85%
14°C
$0 交易量
28%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
37%
17°C
$0 交易量
38%
18°C
$0 交易量
38%
19°C
$0 交易量
38%
20°C
$0 交易量
13%
21°C
$0 交易量
13%
22°C
$0 交易量
13%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus for Qingdao on September 22 points to a minimum near 18–19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, yet substantial spread in ensemble runs sustains the near-even split between 23°C+ and sub-13°C outcomes.** Northerly winds shifting southerly overnight reduce cold-air advection while promoting modest radiative cooling after sunset, typical for the coastal Yellow Sea location where sea-surface temperatures moderate extremes. Recent model updates show tighter clustering around 19°C lows compared with earlier runs, but residual uncertainty in boundary-layer humidity and exact timing of the wind veer keeps the 14°C bucket at 28% and sustains tail probabilities at both ends. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will resolve the market once the 24-hour minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus for Qingdao on September 22 points to a minimum near 18–19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, yet substantial spread in ensemble runs sustains the near-even split between 23°C+ and sub-13°C outcomes.** Northerly winds shifting southerly overnight reduce cold-air advection while promoting modest radiative cooling after sunset, typical for the coastal Yellow Sea location where sea-surface temperatures moderate extremes. Recent model updates show tighter clustering around 19°C lows compared with earlier runs, but residual uncertainty in boundary-layer humidity and exact timing of the wind veer keeps the 14°C bucket at 28% and sustains tail probabilities at both ends. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will resolve the market once the 24-hour minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Forecast model consensus for Qingdao on September 22 points to a minimum near 18–19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, yet substantial spread in ensemble runs sustains the near-even split between 23°C+ and sub-13°C outcomes.** Northerly winds shifting southerly overnight reduce cold-air advection while promoting modest radiative cooling after sunset, typical for the coastal Yellow Sea location where sea-surface temperatures moderate extremes. Recent model updates show tighter clustering around 19°C lows compared with earlier runs, but residual uncertainty in boundary-layer humidity and exact timing of the wind veer keeps the 14°C bucket at 28% and sustains tail probabilities at both ends. Official China Meteorological Administration station data will resolve the market once the 24-hour minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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