Recent model consensus from sources including Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a high of 22–23°C for Paris on September 21 under partly cloudy skies, northeasterly flow at 5–10 km/h, and high pressure near 1027–1030 hPa, suppressing cloud build-up and limiting daytime heating. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 23°C (46.5%) and 22°C (34.0%), as 24°C remains possible only if afternoon clearing intensifies insolation beyond current guidance. Temperatures sit 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 September 21 average high of 20.7°C, yet well below historical extremes near 30°C. Final resolution hinges on the 06–12 UTC observations tomorrow, with any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind direction the primary variable that could move implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日巴黎气温最高？
9月21日巴黎气温最高？
23°C 47%
22°C 34%
24°C 13%
21°C 5%
最新
$12,763 交易量
最新
$12,763 交易量
2026-09-21
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
5%
22°C
34%
23°C
47%
24°C
13%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28℃或更高
<1%
23°C 47%
22°C 34%
24°C 13%
21°C 5%
最新
$12,763 交易量
最新
$12,763 交易量
2026-09-21
18°C或以下
$505 交易量
<1%
19°C
$448 交易量
<1%
20°C
$367 交易量
<1%
21°C
$749 交易量
5%
22°C
$3,796 交易量
34%
23°C
$2,829 交易量
47%
24°C
$1,898 交易量
13%
25°C
$506 交易量
<1%
26°C
$222 交易量
1%
27°C
$277 交易量
<1%
28℃或更高
$1,167 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a high of 22–23°C for Paris on September 21 under partly cloudy skies, northeasterly flow at 5–10 km/h, and high pressure near 1027–1030 hPa, suppressing cloud build-up and limiting daytime heating. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 23°C (46.5%) and 22°C (34.0%), as 24°C remains possible only if afternoon clearing intensifies insolation beyond current guidance. Temperatures sit 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 September 21 average high of 20.7°C, yet well below historical extremes near 30°C. Final resolution hinges on the 06–12 UTC observations tomorrow, with any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind direction the primary variable that could move implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,763结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a high of 22–23°C for Paris on September 21 under partly cloudy skies, northeasterly flow at 5–10 km/h, and high pressure near 1027–1030 hPa, suppressing cloud build-up and limiting daytime heating. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 23°C (46.5%) and 22°C (34.0%), as 24°C remains possible only if afternoon clearing intensifies insolation beyond current guidance. Temperatures sit 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 September 21 average high of 20.7°C, yet well below historical extremes near 30°C. Final resolution hinges on the 06–12 UTC observations tomorrow, with any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind direction the primary variable that could move implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,763结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a high of 22–23°C for Paris on September 21 under partly cloudy skies, northeasterly flow at 5–10 km/h, and high pressure near 1027–1030 hPa, suppressing cloud build-up and limiting daytime heating. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on 23°C (46.5%) and 22°C (34.0%), as 24°C remains possible only if afternoon clearing intensifies insolation beyond current guidance. Temperatures sit 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 September 21 average high of 20.7°C, yet well below historical extremes near 30°C. Final resolution hinges on the 06–12 UTC observations tomorrow, with any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind direction the primary variable that could move implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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