Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS place the maximum temperature in Paris on September 22 near 24–25 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This range sits 3–4 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6 °C yet remains well below historical extremes for the date. Stable high pressure and dry northerly advection have limited diurnal temperature spread, tightening the distribution of possible outcomes and supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 25 °C. Updated model runs through 20 September show minimal spread for the daytime maximum, with only modest sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge readings one degree lower or higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日巴黎气温最高？
9月22日巴黎气温最高？
24°C 48%
25°C 39%
26°C 12%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
19°C或以下
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
6%
24°C
48%
25°C
39%
26°C
12%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C或更高
2%
24°C 48%
25°C 39%
26°C 12%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
3%
22°C
$0 交易量
4%
23°C
$91 交易量
6%
24°C
$968 交易量
48%
25°C
$220 交易量
39%
26°C
$85 交易量
12%
27°C
$87 交易量
6%
28°C
$0 交易量
9%
29°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS place the maximum temperature in Paris on September 22 near 24–25 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This range sits 3–4 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6 °C yet remains well below historical extremes for the date. Stable high pressure and dry northerly advection have limited diurnal temperature spread, tightening the distribution of possible outcomes and supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 25 °C. Updated model runs through 20 September show minimal spread for the daytime maximum, with only modest sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge readings one degree lower or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$424结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS place the maximum temperature in Paris on September 22 near 24–25 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This range sits 3–4 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6 °C yet remains well below historical extremes for the date. Stable high pressure and dry northerly advection have limited diurnal temperature spread, tightening the distribution of possible outcomes and supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 25 °C. Updated model runs through 20 September show minimal spread for the daytime maximum, with only modest sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge readings one degree lower or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$424结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS place the maximum temperature in Paris on September 22 near 24–25 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This range sits 3–4 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6 °C yet remains well below historical extremes for the date. Stable high pressure and dry northerly advection have limited diurnal temperature spread, tightening the distribution of possible outcomes and supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 25 °C. Updated model runs through 20 September show minimal spread for the daytime maximum, with only modest sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge readings one degree lower or higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题