Trader consensus clusters on 78–81°F lows for Houston on September 22 because National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance show persistent high pressure and elevated dew points limiting overnight radiative cooling. Recent climatological data indicate typical late-September minima near 72°F, yet a strong ridge has kept recent overnight lows in the mid-70s to low 80s with minimal frontal intrusion. Light winds and high humidity further suppress temperature drops, while daytime heating in the mid-90s maintains elevated boundary-layer temperatures into the evening. Updated model runs through the weekend show little change ahead of any potential early-October pattern shift, keeping the market-implied range tightly aligned with the latest forecast consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日休斯顿的最低温度？
9月22日休斯顿的最低温度？
80-81华氏度 39%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
71°F或以下
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
26%
80-81华氏度
39%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
11%
86-87华氏度
7%
88-89°F
5%
90°F或更高
5%
80-81华氏度 39%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
71°F或以下
$0 交易量
5%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
7%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
11%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
17%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
26%
80-81华氏度
$0 交易量
39%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
18%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
11%
86-87华氏度
$0 交易量
7%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
5%
90°F或更高
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters on 78–81°F lows for Houston on September 22 because National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance show persistent high pressure and elevated dew points limiting overnight radiative cooling. Recent climatological data indicate typical late-September minima near 72°F, yet a strong ridge has kept recent overnight lows in the mid-70s to low 80s with minimal frontal intrusion. Light winds and high humidity further suppress temperature drops, while daytime heating in the mid-90s maintains elevated boundary-layer temperatures into the evening. Updated model runs through the weekend show little change ahead of any potential early-October pattern shift, keeping the market-implied range tightly aligned with the latest forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters on 78–81°F lows for Houston on September 22 because National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance show persistent high pressure and elevated dew points limiting overnight radiative cooling. Recent climatological data indicate typical late-September minima near 72°F, yet a strong ridge has kept recent overnight lows in the mid-70s to low 80s with minimal frontal intrusion. Light winds and high humidity further suppress temperature drops, while daytime heating in the mid-90s maintains elevated boundary-layer temperatures into the evening. Updated model runs through the weekend show little change ahead of any potential early-October pattern shift, keeping the market-implied range tightly aligned with the latest forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETTrader consensus clusters on 78–81°F lows for Houston on September 22 because National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance show persistent high pressure and elevated dew points limiting overnight radiative cooling. Recent climatological data indicate typical late-September minima near 72°F, yet a strong ridge has kept recent overnight lows in the mid-70s to low 80s with minimal frontal intrusion. Light winds and high humidity further suppress temperature drops, while daytime heating in the mid-90s maintains elevated boundary-layer temperatures into the evening. Updated model runs through the weekend show little change ahead of any potential early-October pattern shift, keeping the market-implied range tightly aligned with the latest forecast consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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