Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Global Meteo, and Yr.no indicate a maximum temperature near 27–28°C in Busan on September 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability, just ahead of 29°C. Stable high pressure and limited cloud cover support readings slightly above the September climatological average of roughly 24–26°C, while consistent onshore flow prevents stronger warming. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and modest diurnal ranges, though minor variations in afternoon cloud timing or wind strength could shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution between the closely matched leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日釜山气温最高?
29°C 42%
28°C 39%
30°C 22%
27°C 3%
$10,546 交易量
$10,546 交易量
23℃或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
39%
29°C
42%
30°C
22%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
29°C 42%
28°C 39%
30°C 22%
27°C 3%
$10,546 交易量
$10,546 交易量
23℃或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
39%
29°C
42%
30°C
22%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Global Meteo, and Yr.no indicate a maximum temperature near 27–28°C in Busan on September 21 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability, just ahead of 29°C. Stable high pressure and limited cloud cover support readings slightly above the September climatological average of roughly 24–26°C, while consistent onshore flow prevents stronger warming. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and modest diurnal ranges, though minor variations in afternoon cloud timing or wind strength could shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution between the closely matched leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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