Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services currently project a high near 25°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This positions 24–26°C as the market leaders, reflecting the consensus range across recent runs while accounting for typical uncertainties in afternoon peak timing and local microclimates. The outlook sits above the long-term September average of roughly 21°C but remains well below historical extremes for the date. Stable high-pressure influence and minimal model disagreement have kept probabilities steady in recent days, with traders likely awaiting updated guidance from sources such as the next GFS or ECMWF cycles closer to the event for any shifts in the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日巴黎最高气温?
25°C 44%
24°C 29%
26°C 18%
23°C 9%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
29%
25°C
44%
26°C
18%
27°C
6%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C或以上
<1%
25°C 44%
24°C 29%
26°C 18%
23°C 9%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
29%
25°C
44%
26°C
18%
27°C
6%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services currently project a high near 25°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This positions 24–26°C as the market leaders, reflecting the consensus range across recent runs while accounting for typical uncertainties in afternoon peak timing and local microclimates. The outlook sits above the long-term September average of roughly 21°C but remains well below historical extremes for the date. Stable high-pressure influence and minimal model disagreement have kept probabilities steady in recent days, with traders likely awaiting updated guidance from sources such as the next GFS or ECMWF cycles closer to the event for any shifts in the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题