Recent weather model consensus from sources including ECMWF-influenced forecasts and regional analyses positions a maximum of 25–26°C as the most probable outcome for Milan on September 19, aligning with market-implied probabilities. A building high-pressure ridge is promoting clearer skies and reduced cloud cover after midweek showers, enabling greater solar insolation and daytime warming under light easterly to southeasterly flow. This setup contrasts with typical mid-September climatology near 22°C and follows cooler, unsettled conditions earlier in the week. Low precipitation chances and stable atmospheric pressure further support modest intensification of surface heating, though minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily temperature market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日米兰的最高温度?
26°C 45%
25°C 36%
27°C 24%
28°C 16%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
12%
25°C
27%
26°C
45%
27°C
24%
28°C
16%
29°C或更高
6%
26°C 45%
25°C 36%
27°C 24%
28°C 16%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
12%
25°C
27%
26°C
45%
27°C
24%
28°C
16%
29°C或更高
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent weather model consensus from sources including ECMWF-influenced forecasts and regional analyses positions a maximum of 25–26°C as the most probable outcome for Milan on September 19, aligning with market-implied probabilities. A building high-pressure ridge is promoting clearer skies and reduced cloud cover after midweek showers, enabling greater solar insolation and daytime warming under light easterly to southeasterly flow. This setup contrasts with typical mid-September climatology near 22°C and follows cooler, unsettled conditions earlier in the week. Low precipitation chances and stable atmospheric pressure further support modest intensification of surface heating, though minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily temperature market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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