Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate a maximum temperature in Milan on September 18 most likely between 22–24°C, supporting the tight market clustering around 23°C and 24°C. Light easterly winds, variable cloud cover, and possible scattered light showers or drizzle are expected to moderate peak solar insolation and boundary-layer heating compared to clearer conditions. These factors create genuine uncertainty in the precise daily high, as small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation can alter surface warming by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly above-normal readings. Updated model runs and observational data through the morning will further refine the outcome before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日米兰的最高温度？
9月18日米兰的最高温度？
23°C 36%
24°C 34%
22°C 18%
25°C或更高 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
18%
23°C
36%
24°C
34%
25°C或更高
15%
23°C 36%
24°C 34%
22°C 18%
25°C或更高 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
$45 交易量
<1%
16°C
$125 交易量
<1%
17°C
$125 交易量
<1%
18°C
$450 交易量
<1%
19℃
$179 交易量
1%
20°C
$129 交易量
2%
21°C
$204 交易量
5%
22°C
$392 交易量
18%
23°C
$384 交易量
36%
24°C
$450 交易量
34%
25°C或更高
$900 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate a maximum temperature in Milan on September 18 most likely between 22–24°C, supporting the tight market clustering around 23°C and 24°C. Light easterly winds, variable cloud cover, and possible scattered light showers or drizzle are expected to moderate peak solar insolation and boundary-layer heating compared to clearer conditions. These factors create genuine uncertainty in the precise daily high, as small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation can alter surface warming by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly above-normal readings. Updated model runs and observational data through the morning will further refine the outcome before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,384结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate a maximum temperature in Milan on September 18 most likely between 22–24°C, supporting the tight market clustering around 23°C and 24°C. Light easterly winds, variable cloud cover, and possible scattered light showers or drizzle are expected to moderate peak solar insolation and boundary-layer heating compared to clearer conditions. These factors create genuine uncertainty in the precise daily high, as small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation can alter surface warming by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly above-normal readings. Updated model runs and observational data through the morning will further refine the outcome before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,384结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models indicate a maximum temperature in Milan on September 18 most likely between 22–24°C, supporting the tight market clustering around 23°C and 24°C. Light easterly winds, variable cloud cover, and possible scattered light showers or drizzle are expected to moderate peak solar insolation and boundary-layer heating compared to clearer conditions. These factors create genuine uncertainty in the precise daily high, as small shifts in cloud timing or precipitation can alter surface warming by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly above-normal readings. Updated model runs and observational data through the morning will further refine the outcome before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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