Recent forecasts for Milan indicate a minimum temperature on September 18 likely near 16–18°C, driven by lingering Atlantic moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can suppress nighttime radiative cooling. Historical September averages place overnight lows around 13–16°C, but current model consensus shows a wider range due to shifting easterly winds and precipitation timing, which traders weigh against potential clearer intervals allowing greater heat loss. With leading market outcomes for extremes closely balanced, this uncertainty stems from short-term forecast divergence on cloud persistence and any late-day cooling from rain, with updated high-resolution runs from agencies like ECMWF expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日米兰最低气温?
12°C或以下 100%
22°C或更高 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
12°C或以下
100%
13°C
36%
14°C
36%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
37%
20°C
40%
21°C
36%
22°C或更高
98%
12°C或以下 100%
22°C或更高 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
12°C或以下
100%
13°C
36%
14°C
36%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
37%
20°C
40%
21°C
36%
22°C或更高
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Milan indicate a minimum temperature on September 18 likely near 16–18°C, driven by lingering Atlantic moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that can suppress nighttime radiative cooling. Historical September averages place overnight lows around 13–16°C, but current model consensus shows a wider range due to shifting easterly winds and precipitation timing, which traders weigh against potential clearer intervals allowing greater heat loss. With leading market outcomes for extremes closely balanced, this uncertainty stems from short-term forecast divergence on cloud persistence and any late-day cooling from rain, with updated high-resolution runs from agencies like ECMWF expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题