Forecast consensus from numerical weather models, including GFS outputs, positions 28–29°C as the most probable high for Shanghai on September 16, with northeast winds and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating during the seasonal transition to autumn. Official monitoring shows stable pressure around 1017–1018 hPa and dew points supporting moderate humidity without strong warming or cooling signals. Recent model runs have held steady without significant shifts from upstream troughs or monsoon influences that could push readings to 30°C or drop them to 27°C. Traders assign the bulk of implied probability to these central outcomes because they align closely with the narrow range of ensemble guidance and climatological baselines for mid-September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日上海气温最高？
9月16日上海气温最高？
28°C 60%
29°C 33%
27°C 8%
30°C 3%
最新
$22,177 交易量
最新
$22,177 交易量
2026-09-16
23℃或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
60%
29°C
33%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
28°C 60%
29°C 33%
27°C 8%
30°C 3%
最新
$22,177 交易量
最新
$22,177 交易量
2026-09-16
23℃或以下
$679 交易量
<1%
24°C
$563 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,314 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,700 交易量
2%
27°C
$5,188 交易量
8%
28°C
$5,270 交易量
60%
29°C
$2,955 交易量
33%
30°C
$1,650 交易量
3%
31°C
$1,048 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,008 交易量
<1%
33°C或更高
$804 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from numerical weather models, including GFS outputs, positions 28–29°C as the most probable high for Shanghai on September 16, with northeast winds and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating during the seasonal transition to autumn. Official monitoring shows stable pressure around 1017–1018 hPa and dew points supporting moderate humidity without strong warming or cooling signals. Recent model runs have held steady without significant shifts from upstream troughs or monsoon influences that could push readings to 30°C or drop them to 27°C. Traders assign the bulk of implied probability to these central outcomes because they align closely with the narrow range of ensemble guidance and climatological baselines for mid-September.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$22,177结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from numerical weather models, including GFS outputs, positions 28–29°C as the most probable high for Shanghai on September 16, with northeast winds and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating during the seasonal transition to autumn. Official monitoring shows stable pressure around 1017–1018 hPa and dew points supporting moderate humidity without strong warming or cooling signals. Recent model runs have held steady without significant shifts from upstream troughs or monsoon influences that could push readings to 30°C or drop them to 27°C. Traders assign the bulk of implied probability to these central outcomes because they align closely with the narrow range of ensemble guidance and climatological baselines for mid-September.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,177结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast consensus from numerical weather models, including GFS outputs, positions 28–29°C as the most probable high for Shanghai on September 16, with northeast winds and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating during the seasonal transition to autumn. Official monitoring shows stable pressure around 1017–1018 hPa and dew points supporting moderate humidity without strong warming or cooling signals. Recent model runs have held steady without significant shifts from upstream troughs or monsoon influences that could push readings to 30°C or drop them to 27°C. Traders assign the bulk of implied probability to these central outcomes because they align closely with the narrow range of ensemble guidance and climatological baselines for mid-September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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