Forecasts from multiple sources, including PredictWind, Yr.no, and others, indicate a high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen on September 15, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical for the region in mid-September, introduce uncertainty around peak heating: scattered convection or thicker cloud cover could limit insolation and cap the maximum at 31°C, while clearer intervals might allow brief warming to 32°C. Model consensus aligns with historical averages near 30–31°C, and the close market split between the top two outcomes reflects this narrow range of possible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日深圳气温最高？
9月15日深圳气温最高？
31°C 35%
32°C 32%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
35%
32°C
32%
33°C
16%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
1%
31°C 35%
32°C 32%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
26°C或以下
$6 交易量
1%
27°C
$10 交易量
1%
28°C
$499 交易量
2%
29°C
$216 交易量
4%
30°C
$209 交易量
12%
31°C
$103 交易量
35%
32°C
$1,202 交易量
32%
33°C
$411 交易量
16%
34°C
$275 交易量
6%
35°C
$36 交易量
1%
36°C或更高
$16 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple sources, including PredictWind, Yr.no, and others, indicate a high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen on September 15, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical for the region in mid-September, introduce uncertainty around peak heating: scattered convection or thicker cloud cover could limit insolation and cap the maximum at 31°C, while clearer intervals might allow brief warming to 32°C. Model consensus aligns with historical averages near 30–31°C, and the close market split between the top two outcomes reflects this narrow range of possible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$2,983结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple sources, including PredictWind, Yr.no, and others, indicate a high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen on September 15, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical for the region in mid-September, introduce uncertainty around peak heating: scattered convection or thicker cloud cover could limit insolation and cap the maximum at 31°C, while clearer intervals might allow brief warming to 32°C. Model consensus aligns with historical averages near 30–31°C, and the close market split between the top two outcomes reflects this narrow range of possible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,983结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETForecasts from multiple sources, including PredictWind, Yr.no, and others, indicate a high near 31–32°C for Shenzhen on September 15, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical for the region in mid-September, introduce uncertainty around peak heating: scattered convection or thicker cloud cover could limit insolation and cap the maximum at 31°C, while clearer intervals might allow brief warming to 32°C. Model consensus aligns with historical averages near 30–31°C, and the close market split between the top two outcomes reflects this narrow range of possible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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