Forecast models from Météo-France and European centers indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C in Paris on September 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with daytime highs reaching 30–32°C. This setup reflects a transient warm anomaly driven by high pressure and advection of milder Atlantic air, several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 11.6°C. Overnight radiative cooling will be limited by residual humidity and winds of 5–10 km/h, while small model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 15°C and 18°C outcomes that currently dominate trader probabilities. Updated runs from the 12 UTC cycle and any shift in the approaching northwest flow will refine the exact low before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日巴黎最低气温？
9月15日巴黎最低气温？
15°C 21%
16°C 21%
14°C 18%
17°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
11°C或以下
3%
12°C
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
18%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
18%
18°C
14%
19°C
7%
20°C
2%
21°C或更高
1%
15°C 21%
16°C 21%
14°C 18%
17°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
11°C或以下
$10 交易量
3%
12°C
$10 交易量
3%
13°C
$5 交易量
3%
14°C
$0 交易量
18%
15°C
$0 交易量
21%
16°C
$0 交易量
21%
17°C
$0 交易量
18%
18°C
$0 交易量
14%
19°C
$5 交易量
7%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C或更高
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and European centers indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C in Paris on September 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with daytime highs reaching 30–32°C. This setup reflects a transient warm anomaly driven by high pressure and advection of milder Atlantic air, several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 11.6°C. Overnight radiative cooling will be limited by residual humidity and winds of 5–10 km/h, while small model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 15°C and 18°C outcomes that currently dominate trader probabilities. Updated runs from the 12 UTC cycle and any shift in the approaching northwest flow will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$41结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and European centers indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C in Paris on September 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with daytime highs reaching 30–32°C. This setup reflects a transient warm anomaly driven by high pressure and advection of milder Atlantic air, several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 11.6°C. Overnight radiative cooling will be limited by residual humidity and winds of 5–10 km/h, while small model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 15°C and 18°C outcomes that currently dominate trader probabilities. Updated runs from the 12 UTC cycle and any shift in the approaching northwest flow will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETForecast models from Météo-France and European centers indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C in Paris on September 15 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with daytime highs reaching 30–32°C. This setup reflects a transient warm anomaly driven by high pressure and advection of milder Atlantic air, several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 11.6°C. Overnight radiative cooling will be limited by residual humidity and winds of 5–10 km/h, while small model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 15°C and 18°C outcomes that currently dominate trader probabilities. Updated runs from the 12 UTC cycle and any shift in the approaching northwest flow will refine the exact low before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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