Latest forecast models project a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Madrid on September 13 under clear skies and light southerly winds, driven by a stable high-pressure system and warm-air advection typical of late-summer continental conditions. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 average high of 27.1°C while remaining well below historical extremes for the date. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk supporting the market’s concentration on 32°C and 33°C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日马德里气温最高？
9月13日马德里气温最高？
32°C 49%
33°C 48%
31°C 3.1%
34°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
49%
33°C
48%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 49%
33°C 48%
31°C 3.1%
34°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
26°C或以下
$239 交易量
<1%
27°C
$173 交易量
<1%
28°C
$282 交易量
<1%
29°C
$207 交易量
<1%
30°C
$73 交易量
1%
31°C
$642 交易量
3%
32°C
$1,160 交易量
49%
33°C
$1,498 交易量
48%
34°C
$468 交易量
3%
35°C
$59 交易量
3%
36°C或更高
$409 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models project a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Madrid on September 13 under clear skies and light southerly winds, driven by a stable high-pressure system and warm-air advection typical of late-summer continental conditions. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 average high of 27.1°C while remaining well below historical extremes for the date. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk supporting the market’s concentration on 32°C and 33°C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,209结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models project a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Madrid on September 13 under clear skies and light southerly winds, driven by a stable high-pressure system and warm-air advection typical of late-summer continental conditions. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 average high of 27.1°C while remaining well below historical extremes for the date. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk supporting the market’s concentration on 32°C and 33°C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,209结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest forecast models project a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Madrid on September 13 under clear skies and light southerly winds, driven by a stable high-pressure system and warm-air advection typical of late-summer continental conditions. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 average high of 27.1°C while remaining well below historical extremes for the date. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk supporting the market’s concentration on 32°C and 33°C. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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