Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are positioning Madrid for a daytime high near 30–31°C on September 11, driving the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. Official forecasts from multiple models show afternoon peaks of 30–31°C under light southerly flow and negligible cloud cover, well above the 27.5°C climatological average for the date. Recent cooling after early-September heat (peaks near 37°C) has given way to this more moderate but still above-normal pattern, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts expected to alter heating rates. Traders appear to be weighting the latest numerical guidance and historical analogs that rarely exceed 32°C this late in the season.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日马德里气温最高？
9月11日马德里气温最高？
31°C 65%
30°C 27%
32°C 11%
29°C 2%
最新
$14,546 交易量
最新
$14,546 交易量
2026-09-11
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
27%
31°C
65%
32°C
11%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
31°C 65%
30°C 27%
32°C 11%
29°C 2%
最新
$14,546 交易量
最新
$14,546 交易量
2026-09-11
25°C或以下
$1,553 交易量
<1%
26°C
$820 交易量
<1%
27°C
$445 交易量
1%
28°C
$513 交易量
<1%
29°C
$560 交易量
2%
30°C
$4,769 交易量
27%
31°C
$3,128 交易量
65%
32°C
$1,447 交易量
11%
33°C
$480 交易量
<1%
34°C
$242 交易量
<1%
35°C或更高
$590 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are positioning Madrid for a daytime high near 30–31°C on September 11, driving the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. Official forecasts from multiple models show afternoon peaks of 30–31°C under light southerly flow and negligible cloud cover, well above the 27.5°C climatological average for the date. Recent cooling after early-September heat (peaks near 37°C) has given way to this more moderate but still above-normal pattern, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts expected to alter heating rates. Traders appear to be weighting the latest numerical guidance and historical analogs that rarely exceed 32°C this late in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$14,546结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are positioning Madrid for a daytime high near 30–31°C on September 11, driving the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. Official forecasts from multiple models show afternoon peaks of 30–31°C under light southerly flow and negligible cloud cover, well above the 27.5°C climatological average for the date. Recent cooling after early-September heat (peaks near 37°C) has given way to this more moderate but still above-normal pattern, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts expected to alter heating rates. Traders appear to be weighting the latest numerical guidance and historical analogs that rarely exceed 32°C this late in the season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,546结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETStable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are positioning Madrid for a daytime high near 30–31°C on September 11, driving the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. Official forecasts from multiple models show afternoon peaks of 30–31°C under light southerly flow and negligible cloud cover, well above the 27.5°C climatological average for the date. Recent cooling after early-September heat (peaks near 37°C) has given way to this more moderate but still above-normal pattern, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts expected to alter heating rates. Traders appear to be weighting the latest numerical guidance and historical analogs that rarely exceed 32°C this late in the season.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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