Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Madrid's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle in the 15–17°C range under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure, consistent with historical September averages near 16°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by seasonal warmth and minimal cloud cover, limiting extreme drops while daytime heating reaches the upper 20s°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-12°C and 21°C+ outcomes due to model spread in exact minimum timing and urban heat island effects, with new observational data from early morning reports likely to refine resolution probabilities before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日马德里最低气温？
9月12日马德里最低气温？
11°C或以下 88%
21°C或更高 88%
12°C 39%
13°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
11°C或以下
88%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
21%
17°C
38%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C或更高
88%
11°C或以下 88%
21°C或更高 88%
12°C 39%
13°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
88%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$0 交易量
39%
14°C
$4 交易量
27%
15°C
$0 交易量
25%
16°C
$0 交易量
21%
17°C
$0 交易量
38%
18°C
$0 交易量
5%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Madrid's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle in the 15–17°C range under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure, consistent with historical September averages near 16°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by seasonal warmth and minimal cloud cover, limiting extreme drops while daytime heating reaches the upper 20s°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-12°C and 21°C+ outcomes due to model spread in exact minimum timing and urban heat island effects, with new observational data from early morning reports likely to refine resolution probabilities before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$4结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Madrid's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle in the 15–17°C range under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure, consistent with historical September averages near 16°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by seasonal warmth and minimal cloud cover, limiting extreme drops while daytime heating reaches the upper 20s°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-12°C and 21°C+ outcomes due to model spread in exact minimum timing and urban heat island effects, with new observational data from early morning reports likely to refine resolution probabilities before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Madrid's overnight low on September 12 will likely settle in the 15–17°C range under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure, consistent with historical September averages near 16°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by seasonal warmth and minimal cloud cover, limiting extreme drops while daytime heating reaches the upper 20s°C. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-12°C and 21°C+ outcomes due to model spread in exact minimum timing and urban heat island effects, with new observational data from early morning reports likely to refine resolution probabilities before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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