**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C daily maximum in Chengdu on September 11 reflects strong agreement across meteorological models and agency forecasts.** Overcast skies, light northeast winds, and high humidity near 70-80% have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with early-autumn climatology for the Sichuan basin. Agencies including the UK Met Office and PredictWind project a peak of 23–24°C, with current observations hovering around 19–21°C and minimal precipitation risk. Final station readings from local networks will determine exact resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing that boosts insolation or minor differences in measurement sites and reporting times, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日成都气温最高？
9月11日成都气温最高？
23°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$38,798 交易量
$38,798 交易量
2026-09-11
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
23°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$38,798 交易量
$38,798 交易量
2026-09-11
20°C或以下
$959 交易量
否
21°C
$800 交易量
否
22°C
$4,680 交易量
否
23°C
$10,506 交易量
是
24°C
$6,031 交易量
否
25°C
$7,236 交易量
否
26°C
$3,637 交易量
否
27°C
$3,042 交易量
否
28°C
$843 交易量
否
29°C
$649 交易量
否
30°C或更高
$415 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C daily maximum in Chengdu on September 11 reflects strong agreement across meteorological models and agency forecasts.** Overcast skies, light northeast winds, and high humidity near 70-80% have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with early-autumn climatology for the Sichuan basin. Agencies including the UK Met Office and PredictWind project a peak of 23–24°C, with current observations hovering around 19–21°C and minimal precipitation risk. Final station readings from local networks will determine exact resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing that boosts insolation or minor differences in measurement sites and reporting times, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$38,798结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C daily maximum in Chengdu on September 11 reflects strong agreement across meteorological models and agency forecasts.** Overcast skies, light northeast winds, and high humidity near 70-80% have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with early-autumn climatology for the Sichuan basin. Agencies including the UK Met Office and PredictWind project a peak of 23–24°C, with current observations hovering around 19–21°C and minimal precipitation risk. Final station readings from local networks will determine exact resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing that boosts insolation or minor differences in measurement sites and reporting times, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,798结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C daily maximum in Chengdu on September 11 reflects strong agreement across meteorological models and agency forecasts.** Overcast skies, light northeast winds, and high humidity near 70-80% have limited daytime heating, keeping temperatures aligned with early-autumn climatology for the Sichuan basin. Agencies including the UK Met Office and PredictWind project a peak of 23–24°C, with current observations hovering around 19–21°C and minimal precipitation risk. Final station readings from local networks will determine exact resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing that boosts insolation or minor differences in measurement sites and reporting times, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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