Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 13 will likely bottom out between 70–72°F, aligning with the closely matched leading market outcomes near 43.5% and 38.5% implied probability. A warm, humid air mass with southerly flow, high dew points, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms is limiting radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures elevated well above the climatological average low of roughly 63°F. Subtle differences between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins hinge on model variations in the timing of any clearing, wind shifts, or boundary-layer moisture, which could alter the exact nocturnal minimum by a degree or two. Official National Weather Service guidance and updated model runs through the evening will provide the key data points for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日纽约市的最低温度？
9月13日纽约市的最低温度？
72-73华氏度 42%
70-71°F 41%
68-69°F 12%
74-75°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
63华氏度或以下
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
41%
72-73华氏度
42%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F或更高
1%
72-73华氏度 42%
70-71°F 41%
68-69°F 12%
74-75°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
63华氏度或以下
$31 交易量
2%
64-65°F
$6 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
5%
68-69°F
$442 交易量
12%
70-71°F
$186 交易量
41%
72-73华氏度
$699 交易量
42%
74-75°F
$302 交易量
7%
76-77°F
$26 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$36 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$36 交易量
1%
82°F或更高
$51 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 13 will likely bottom out between 70–72°F, aligning with the closely matched leading market outcomes near 43.5% and 38.5% implied probability. A warm, humid air mass with southerly flow, high dew points, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms is limiting radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures elevated well above the climatological average low of roughly 63°F. Subtle differences between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins hinge on model variations in the timing of any clearing, wind shifts, or boundary-layer moisture, which could alter the exact nocturnal minimum by a degree or two. Official National Weather Service guidance and updated model runs through the evening will provide the key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,815结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 13 will likely bottom out between 70–72°F, aligning with the closely matched leading market outcomes near 43.5% and 38.5% implied probability. A warm, humid air mass with southerly flow, high dew points, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms is limiting radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures elevated well above the climatological average low of roughly 63°F. Subtle differences between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins hinge on model variations in the timing of any clearing, wind shifts, or boundary-layer moisture, which could alter the exact nocturnal minimum by a degree or two. Official National Weather Service guidance and updated model runs through the evening will provide the key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,815结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 13 will likely bottom out between 70–72°F, aligning with the closely matched leading market outcomes near 43.5% and 38.5% implied probability. A warm, humid air mass with southerly flow, high dew points, and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms is limiting radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures elevated well above the climatological average low of roughly 63°F. Subtle differences between the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins hinge on model variations in the timing of any clearing, wind shifts, or boundary-layer moisture, which could alter the exact nocturnal minimum by a degree or two. Official National Weather Service guidance and updated model runs through the evening will provide the key data points for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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