Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and light showers will limit solar insolation in Chongqing on September 11, keeping the daily maximum near 24–26°C rather than allowing stronger afternoon heating. Subtropical humidity and light southwest winds are expected to moderate surface temperatures, with model consensus showing only modest diurnal rises from overnight lows around 18–21°C. Slight variations in cloud thickness or precipitation timing across ensemble runs explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24°C and 25°C, as even modest increases in sunshine could push readings toward 26°C while heavier or earlier rain would favor 23°C or below. Official updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日重庆气温最高？
9月11日重庆气温最高？
25°C 31%
26°C 22%
24°C 22%
23°C或以下 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
23°C或以下
12%
24°C
22%
25°C
31%
26°C
22%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
25°C 31%
26°C 22%
24°C 22%
23°C或以下 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
23°C或以下
$2,058 交易量
12%
24°C
$736 交易量
22%
25°C
$920 交易量
31%
26°C
$236 交易量
22%
27°C
$371 交易量
9%
28°C
$458 交易量
4%
29°C
$230 交易量
4%
30°C
$536 交易量
2%
31°C
$176 交易量
<1%
32°C
$266 交易量
<1%
33°C或更高
$297 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and light showers will limit solar insolation in Chongqing on September 11, keeping the daily maximum near 24–26°C rather than allowing stronger afternoon heating. Subtropical humidity and light southwest winds are expected to moderate surface temperatures, with model consensus showing only modest diurnal rises from overnight lows around 18–21°C. Slight variations in cloud thickness or precipitation timing across ensemble runs explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24°C and 25°C, as even modest increases in sunshine could push readings toward 26°C while heavier or earlier rain would favor 23°C or below. Official updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,283结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and light showers will limit solar insolation in Chongqing on September 11, keeping the daily maximum near 24–26°C rather than allowing stronger afternoon heating. Subtropical humidity and light southwest winds are expected to moderate surface temperatures, with model consensus showing only modest diurnal rises from overnight lows around 18–21°C. Slight variations in cloud thickness or precipitation timing across ensemble runs explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24°C and 25°C, as even modest increases in sunshine could push readings toward 26°C while heavier or earlier rain would favor 23°C or below. Official updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,283结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts indicate persistent cloud cover and light showers will limit solar insolation in Chongqing on September 11, keeping the daily maximum near 24–26°C rather than allowing stronger afternoon heating. Subtropical humidity and light southwest winds are expected to moderate surface temperatures, with model consensus showing only modest diurnal rises from overnight lows around 18–21°C. Slight variations in cloud thickness or precipitation timing across ensemble runs explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24°C and 25°C, as even modest increases in sunshine could push readings toward 26°C while heavier or earlier rain would favor 23°C or below. Official updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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