Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a daily maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 12, 2026, driven by seasonal norms around 25°C and afternoon cloud cover plus scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating. Model runs show peak temperatures near midday or early afternoon before precipitation develops, with official stations such as Benito Juárez International Airport expected to record the resolving value. Trader positioning at 56% for exactly 25°C and 32.5% for 26°C or higher reflects this narrow range, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent stronger cooling from sustained rain. Updated model guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will provide the final inputs for the official highest temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日墨西哥城气温最高？
9月12日墨西哥城气温最高？
25°C 55%
26°C或更高 33%
24°C 7%
22°C 2.0%
$12,159 交易量
$12,159 交易量
2026-09-12
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
55%
26°C或更高
33%
25°C 55%
26°C或更高 33%
24°C 7%
22°C 2.0%
$12,159 交易量
$12,159 交易量
2026-09-12
16°C或以下
$127 交易量
<1%
17°C
$127 交易量
<1%
18°C
$127 交易量
<1%
19°C
$112 交易量
<1%
20°C
$329 交易量
<1%
21°C
$336 交易量
<1%
22°C
$417 交易量
2%
23°C
$837 交易量
1%
24°C
$2,007 交易量
7%
25°C
$2,732 交易量
55%
26°C或更高
$5,010 交易量
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a daily maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 12, 2026, driven by seasonal norms around 25°C and afternoon cloud cover plus scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating. Model runs show peak temperatures near midday or early afternoon before precipitation develops, with official stations such as Benito Juárez International Airport expected to record the resolving value. Trader positioning at 56% for exactly 25°C and 32.5% for 26°C or higher reflects this narrow range, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent stronger cooling from sustained rain. Updated model guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will provide the final inputs for the official highest temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,159结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a daily maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 12, 2026, driven by seasonal norms around 25°C and afternoon cloud cover plus scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating. Model runs show peak temperatures near midday or early afternoon before precipitation develops, with official stations such as Benito Juárez International Airport expected to record the resolving value. Trader positioning at 56% for exactly 25°C and 32.5% for 26°C or higher reflects this narrow range, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent stronger cooling from sustained rain. Updated model guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will provide the final inputs for the official highest temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,159结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a daily maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City on September 12, 2026, driven by seasonal norms around 25°C and afternoon cloud cover plus scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating. Model runs show peak temperatures near midday or early afternoon before precipitation develops, with official stations such as Benito Juárez International Airport expected to record the resolving value. Trader positioning at 56% for exactly 25°C and 32.5% for 26°C or higher reflects this narrow range, while lower outcomes remain unlikely absent stronger cooling from sustained rain. Updated model guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will provide the final inputs for the official highest temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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