**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models position 24–25°C as the most probable range for Incheon’s daily maximum on September 10.** Multiple sources, including airport TAF data and hourly projections, show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 15–18°C to afternoon peaks of 24–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds. Recent model runs indicate limited diurnal heating due to stable high pressure and modest cloud cover, keeping extremes below 26°C unlikely. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% implied probability for 24°C, aligns with these verified observations and the absence of warmer air advection or clearer conditions that could push readings higher. Updated guidance ahead of the peak heating window on the 10th remains the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
24°C 50%
25°C 22%
23°C 19%
26°C 8%
$18,481 交易量
$18,481 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
19%
24°C
50%
25°C
22%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 22%
23°C 19%
26°C 8%
$18,481 交易量
$18,481 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
19%
24°C
50%
25°C
22%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models position 24–25°C as the most probable range for Incheon’s daily maximum on September 10.** Multiple sources, including airport TAF data and hourly projections, show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 15–18°C to afternoon peaks of 24–25°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds. Recent model runs indicate limited diurnal heating due to stable high pressure and modest cloud cover, keeping extremes below 26°C unlikely. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% implied probability for 24°C, aligns with these verified observations and the absence of warmer air advection or clearer conditions that could push readings higher. Updated guidance ahead of the peak heating window on the 10th remains the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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