Official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded an overnight low in the low 50s Fahrenheit on September 11, aligning with the market's dominant 52-53°F outcome. Regional forecasts from NOAA models anticipated mild conditions under overcast skies with light northerly flow and no significant cold-air advection, consistent with the September climatological average low near 54°F. The absence of early-autumn frontal passages or radiational cooling under clear skies kept minimum temperatures above historical extremes for the date. Traders priced in this consensus because preliminary climatological summaries and real-time station data converged on that narrow range, with limited upside or downside volatility once the sun set. Minor adjustments could arise only from final quality-controlled readings or differences between airport and urban microclimates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日西雅图最低气温?
52-53°F 96%
50-51华氏度 95%
48-49°F 93.2%
47华氏度或以下 54%
$1,198 交易量
$1,198 交易量
47华氏度或以下
54%
48-49°F
93%
50-51华氏度
95%
52-53°F
96%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63华氏度
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66华氏度或更高
<1%
52-53°F 96%
50-51华氏度 95%
48-49°F 93.2%
47华氏度或以下 54%
$1,198 交易量
$1,198 交易量
47华氏度或以下
54%
48-49°F
93%
50-51华氏度
95%
52-53°F
96%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63华氏度
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66华氏度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 9, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded an overnight low in the low 50s Fahrenheit on September 11, aligning with the market's dominant 52-53°F outcome. Regional forecasts from NOAA models anticipated mild conditions under overcast skies with light northerly flow and no significant cold-air advection, consistent with the September climatological average low near 54°F. The absence of early-autumn frontal passages or radiational cooling under clear skies kept minimum temperatures above historical extremes for the date. Traders priced in this consensus because preliminary climatological summaries and real-time station data converged on that narrow range, with limited upside or downside volatility once the sun set. Minor adjustments could arise only from final quality-controlled readings or differences between airport and urban microclimates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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