Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models place 22°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s September 14 high, with 47% implied probability, driven by a stable anticyclone and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime warming. This consensus reflects current 500 hPa heights and surface pressure patterns consistent with early-autumn climatology, where historical mid-September maxima average 24–26°C but recent runs show a modest cooling signal from upstream Atlantic troughing. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains, particularly regarding cloud cover and any weak warm advection; traders will watch the next ECMWF and GFS cycles plus local Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for revisions before the market resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
9月14日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
22°C 60%
21°C 37%
20°C 35%
24°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
18°C或以下
12%
19°C
6%
20°C
35%
21°C
37%
22°C
60%
23°C
25%
24°C
35%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C或更高
12%
22°C 60%
21°C 37%
20°C 35%
24°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
12%
19°C
$0 交易量
6%
20°C
$0 交易量
35%
21°C
$0 交易量
37%
22°C
$167 交易量
60%
23°C
$59 交易量
25%
24°C
$0 交易量
35%
25°C
$0 交易量
7%
26°C
$0 交易量
5%
27°C
$0 交易量
4%
28°C或更高
$0 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models place 22°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s September 14 high, with 47% implied probability, driven by a stable anticyclone and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime warming. This consensus reflects current 500 hPa heights and surface pressure patterns consistent with early-autumn climatology, where historical mid-September maxima average 24–26°C but recent runs show a modest cooling signal from upstream Atlantic troughing. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains, particularly regarding cloud cover and any weak warm advection; traders will watch the next ECMWF and GFS cycles plus local Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for revisions before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$227结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models place 22°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s September 14 high, with 47% implied probability, driven by a stable anticyclone and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime warming. This consensus reflects current 500 hPa heights and surface pressure patterns consistent with early-autumn climatology, where historical mid-September maxima average 24–26°C but recent runs show a modest cooling signal from upstream Atlantic troughing. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains, particularly regarding cloud cover and any weak warm advection; traders will watch the next ECMWF and GFS cycles plus local Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for revisions before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$227结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models place 22°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s September 14 high, with 47% implied probability, driven by a stable anticyclone and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime warming. This consensus reflects current 500 hPa heights and surface pressure patterns consistent with early-autumn climatology, where historical mid-September maxima average 24–26°C but recent runs show a modest cooling signal from upstream Atlantic troughing. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains, particularly regarding cloud cover and any weak warm advection; traders will watch the next ECMWF and GFS cycles plus local Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for revisions before the market resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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