Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm that San Francisco reached a daily maximum of 72–73°F on September 11, 2026, aligning with the market’s near-certain consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a marine layer influence, with onshore westerly flow limiting daytime heating near the coast while allowing modest warming in sheltered areas. Historical September averages hover near 71°F, and the day’s readings fell within normal variability without notable heat-wave drivers such as offshore flow or anomalous high pressure. Minor adjustments to preliminary data remain possible but are rare once quality-controlled records are finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日旧金山气温最高?
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65华氏度 <1%
66-67°F <1%
$61,584 交易量
$61,584 交易量
63°F或以下
否
64-65华氏度
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
是
74-75华氏度
否
76-77华氏度
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82°F或更高
否
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65华氏度 <1%
66-67°F <1%
$61,584 交易量
$61,584 交易量
63°F或以下
否
64-65华氏度
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
是
74-75华氏度
否
76-77华氏度
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 9, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm that San Francisco reached a daily maximum of 72–73°F on September 11, 2026, aligning with the market’s near-certain consensus. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a marine layer influence, with onshore westerly flow limiting daytime heating near the coast while allowing modest warming in sheltered areas. Historical September averages hover near 71°F, and the day’s readings fell within normal variability without notable heat-wave drivers such as offshore flow or anomalous high pressure. Minor adjustments to preliminary data remain possible but are rare once quality-controlled records are finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题