Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional services indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C in Wellington on September 12 under stable spring conditions, with partly cloudy skies, southerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and no significant warm advection or blocking highs. This aligns with climatological September averages near 12.5–13°C and recent observational trends showing midday readings climbing to 13°C without exceeding typical spring variability. Trader consensus at 97% for 14°C reflects this tight model agreement and low uncertainty in short-range guidance. A realistic shift could occur only from rapid forecast revisions, such as stronger northerly flow or localized warming not captured in current runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月12日惠灵顿的最高温度？
14°C 95%
15°C 4.9%
16°C <1%
8°C或以下 <1%
最新
$55,975 交易量
最新
$55,975 交易量
2026-09-12
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
95%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
14°C 95%
15°C 4.9%
16°C <1%
8°C或以下 <1%
最新
$55,975 交易量
最新
$55,975 交易量
2026-09-12
8°C或以下
$1,156 交易量
<1%
9°C
$304 交易量
<1%
10°C
$417 交易量
<1%
11°C
$905 交易量
<1%
12°C
$10,222 交易量
<1%
13°C
$16,313 交易量
<1%
14°C
$10,834 交易量
95%
15°C
$9,021 交易量
5%
16°C
$3,997 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,566 交易量
<1%
18°C或更高
$240 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional services indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C in Wellington on September 12 under stable spring conditions, with partly cloudy skies, southerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and no significant warm advection or blocking highs. This aligns with climatological September averages near 12.5–13°C and recent observational trends showing midday readings climbing to 13°C without exceeding typical spring variability. Trader consensus at 97% for 14°C reflects this tight model agreement and low uncertainty in short-range guidance. A realistic shift could occur only from rapid forecast revisions, such as stronger northerly flow or localized warming not captured in current runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$55,975结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional services indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C in Wellington on September 12 under stable spring conditions, with partly cloudy skies, southerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and no significant warm advection or blocking highs. This aligns with climatological September averages near 12.5–13°C and recent observational trends showing midday readings climbing to 13°C without exceeding typical spring variability. Trader consensus at 97% for 14°C reflects this tight model agreement and low uncertainty in short-range guidance. A realistic shift could occur only from rapid forecast revisions, such as stronger northerly flow or localized warming not captured in current runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55,975结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional services indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C in Wellington on September 12 under stable spring conditions, with partly cloudy skies, southerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and no significant warm advection or blocking highs. This aligns with climatological September averages near 12.5–13°C and recent observational trends showing midday readings climbing to 13°C without exceeding typical spring variability. Trader consensus at 97% for 14°C reflects this tight model agreement and low uncertainty in short-range guidance. A realistic shift could occur only from rapid forecast revisions, such as stronger northerly flow or localized warming not captured in current runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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