Recent high-pressure building with northerly flow and mostly clear skies is the main driver behind current market-implied odds, supporting minimum temperatures near or slightly below Helsinki’s 9.6 °C September 14 climatological average. Multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate overnight lows of roughly 8–11 °C under light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could hold temperatures closer to 10–12 °C. The tight clustering around 6–12 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than model disagreement on the broader cool-air advection pattern. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日赫尔辛基最低气温?
12°C或更高 68%
2°C或以下 67%
5°C 40%
4°C 38%
2°C或以下
67%
3°C
18%
4°C
38%
5°C
40%
6°C
32%
7°C
21%
8°C
24%
9°C
37%
10°C
37%
11°C
13%
12°C或更高
68%
12°C或更高 68%
2°C或以下 67%
5°C 40%
4°C 38%
2°C或以下
67%
3°C
18%
4°C
38%
5°C
40%
6°C
32%
7°C
21%
8°C
24%
9°C
37%
10°C
37%
11°C
13%
12°C或更高
68%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent high-pressure building with northerly flow and mostly clear skies is the main driver behind current market-implied odds, supporting minimum temperatures near or slightly below Helsinki’s 9.6 °C September 14 climatological average. Multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate overnight lows of roughly 8–11 °C under light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could hold temperatures closer to 10–12 °C. The tight clustering around 6–12 °C outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than model disagreement on the broader cool-air advection pattern. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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