**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a daytime high of 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability (66.5% for exactly 16°C).** This reflects stable early-autumn conditions with moderate southwesterly flow, limited warm advection, and seasonal norms (historical average high near 15.9°C). Recent model runs show tight clustering around 15–17°C, with light precipitation chances (10–60% in some guidance) unlikely to suppress the maximum. Secondary probabilities for 15°C (23%) and 17°C (8.5%) capture residual uncertainty from timing of any cloud cover or minor wind shifts, while extremes below 14°C or above 18°C remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and absence of blocking highs or cold outbreaks. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble outputs heavily as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日赫尔辛基的最高温度？
9月13日赫尔辛基的最高温度？
16°C 67%
15°C 22%
17°C 9%
14°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
22%
16°C
67%
17°C
9%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
16°C 67%
15°C 22%
17°C 9%
14°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
11°C或以下
$85 交易量
<1%
12°C
$153 交易量
1%
13°C
$169 交易量
2%
14°C
$586 交易量
3%
15°C
$879 交易量
22%
16°C
$3,339 交易量
67%
17°C
$609 交易量
9%
18°C
$288 交易量
2%
19°C
$189 交易量
2%
20°C
$189 交易量
<1%
21°C或更高
$153 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a daytime high of 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability (66.5% for exactly 16°C).** This reflects stable early-autumn conditions with moderate southwesterly flow, limited warm advection, and seasonal norms (historical average high near 15.9°C). Recent model runs show tight clustering around 15–17°C, with light precipitation chances (10–60% in some guidance) unlikely to suppress the maximum. Secondary probabilities for 15°C (23%) and 17°C (8.5%) capture residual uncertainty from timing of any cloud cover or minor wind shifts, while extremes below 14°C or above 18°C remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and absence of blocking highs or cold outbreaks. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble outputs heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$6,639结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a daytime high of 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability (66.5% for exactly 16°C).** This reflects stable early-autumn conditions with moderate southwesterly flow, limited warm advection, and seasonal norms (historical average high near 15.9°C). Recent model runs show tight clustering around 15–17°C, with light precipitation chances (10–60% in some guidance) unlikely to suppress the maximum. Secondary probabilities for 15°C (23%) and 17°C (8.5%) capture residual uncertainty from timing of any cloud cover or minor wind shifts, while extremes below 14°C or above 18°C remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and absence of blocking highs or cold outbreaks. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble outputs heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,639结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple models centers on a daytime high of 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability (66.5% for exactly 16°C).** This reflects stable early-autumn conditions with moderate southwesterly flow, limited warm advection, and seasonal norms (historical average high near 15.9°C). Recent model runs show tight clustering around 15–17°C, with light precipitation chances (10–60% in some guidance) unlikely to suppress the maximum. Secondary probabilities for 15°C (23%) and 17°C (8.5%) capture residual uncertainty from timing of any cloud cover or minor wind shifts, while extremes below 14°C or above 18°C remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns and absence of blocking highs or cold outbreaks. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble outputs heavily as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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